Computer Use API News

Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry

Feb 28, 12:08 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

97.94%chance

2915988

OptionVotes

YES

7381

168

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Nov 20, 12:03 AMApr 4, 11:59 AM

243255

OptionProbability

The web will not substantially improve before 2032

WeChat

Appflowy

Agregore Browser

There wont be one next web. Web browsers of the future will run many protocols, competently, which are fairly well integrated, and for which there is no obvious general purpose winner

Orca Sandbox or something derived from it

The current web will reform before a transition can occur

Ad4m

Brave Browser

Replit

Something from Epic Games

Anytype

Logseq

Horizon Worlds

Modular Web

Playbit

VRChat

Discord

Flutter

Welkin

Gopher

Fuchsia OS

The Zed editor

emacs

World App (the one with the orbs)

X.com

roblox

Will Claude Fable 5 be API Pricing Only when public access returns?

Jun 14, 2:21 AMJan 1, 2:21 AM

15.39%chance

121728

OptionVotes

YES

2345

426

Will Manifold have automated resolutions before 2027?

Jun 12, 1:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.51%chance

101637

OptionVotes

YES

1475

678

[Carlini questions] Cost of a million output words in 2030 for an LLM that achieves at least current benchmark SOTA

Mar 24, 2:14 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

4680

OptionProbability

Below $0.10

$0.10 - $0.49

$0.50 - $0.99

$1.00 - $2.99

$3.00 - $5.99

$6.00 - $9.99

$10.00+

[Carlini questions] Cost of a million output words in 2027 for an LLM that achieves at least current benchmark SOTA

Mar 24, 2:14 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

2575

OptionProbability

Below $0.10

$0.10 - $0.49

$0.50 - $0.99

$1.00 - $2.99

$3.00 - $5.99

$6.00 - $9.99

$10.00+

Will Anthropic explicitly ban competing models from using Claude Code before July 1st 2026?

Feb 12, 2:30 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

13.84%chance

17495

OptionVotes

YES

173

Will computer use APIs beat fight amazon + ebay Captchas to enable price comparisons? at mid 2027

May 31, 1:02 AMJul 1, 12:59 AM

59.5%chance

2232

OptionVotes

YES

1212

825

Computer Use API News

Prediction markets for Computer Use API

Prediction markets for Computer Use API

Prediction markets for Computer Use API

Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Will Claude Fable 5 be API Pricing Only when public access returns?

Will Manifold have automated resolutions before 2027?

[Carlini questions] Cost of a million output words in 2030 for an LLM that achieves at least current benchmark SOTA

[Carlini questions] Cost of a million output words in 2027 for an LLM that achieves at least current benchmark SOTA

Will Anthropic explicitly ban competing models from using Claude Code before July 1st 2026?

Will computer use APIs beat fight amazon + ebay Captchas to enable price comparisons? at mid 2027

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