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Prediction markets for Conclave

Next conclave year

May 19, 12:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5547

OptionProbability

Before 2047

Before 2037

After 2047

Before 2027

93

72

28

3

How many conclaves will occur before a pope of sub-Saharan African origin is elected?

May 8, 12:20 AMNov 3, 12:15 AM

7487

OptionProbability

5 or more

4

3

2

1

41

22

20

16

1

Does One Battle After Another have what it takes to win Best Picture at the 98th Oscars?

Jan 9, 10:20 PMMar 15, 11:59 PM

69%chance

6417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

149

67

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