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Top stories

Trump Seeks $2 Billion From Congress to Beautify Washington

US Domestic Policy

Trump Seeks $2 Billion From Congress to Beautify Washington

Authors

12

4 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Says U.S. Has Stopped All Spending on Ukraine

Authors

7

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Congressional

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District

Oct 17, 12:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3999561

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Saikat Chakrabarti

Other

Nancy Pelosi

Christine Pelosi

London Breed

Jingchao Xiong

Darren Helton

58

18

12

7

2

2

1

0

0

Treasury shuts off Congressionally authorized payments to Department of Education by December 31, 2025

Feb 4, 4:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.15%chance

3235132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25336

2901

Who will win the NY-12 Congressional District (add answers!)

Sep 6, 7:12 PMNov 6, 11:59 PM

185366

OptionProbability

Micah Lasher

Alex Bores

Jack Schlossberg

Cameron Kasky

Erik Bottcher

George Conway

Liam Elkind

Keith Powers

53

22

10

10

5

5

3

3

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

Jul 10, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.57%chance

173990

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4117

243

If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

Jun 30, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.31%chance

163092

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3237

737

Will Lula's 3rd term in Brazil have above-average (>75%) congressional support?

Nov 12, 5:42 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

44.25%chance

161333

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1087

861

Who will win the special election in Texas's 18th congressional district?

Oct 15, 3:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61250

OptionProbability

Christian Menefee

Amanda Edwards

Carmen Maria Montiel

Jolanda Jones

George Foreman IV

Isaiah Martin

Other

72

27

0

0

0

0

0

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?

Aug 5, 6:05 PMNov 5, 6:54 PM

16.1%chance

19829

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1212

937

Which incumbent Representative or Senator will have the lowest WAR in the 2026 Midterm US Congressional Elections?

Feb 10, 4:07 AMFeb 17, 4:59 AM

5333

OptionProbability

Ilhan Omar (MN-05) - Democratic

Other

Cynthia Lummis (WY-SEN) - Republican

Mark Warner (VA-SEN) - Democratic

Nick Begich (AK-AL) - Republican

Marjorie Taylor Greene (GA-14) - Republican

41

38

7

7

6

1

Who will win the 2026 election for New York's 7th Congressional District?

Nov 21, 5:01 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

3260

OptionProbability

Antonio Reynoso

Claire Valdez

Other

Julia Salazar

Sandy Nurse

64

18

10

4

4

Will there be any Congressional Special Election flips in the 119th Congress?

Dec 4, 10:41 PMNov 3, 10:59 PM

24.6%chance

2105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

57

Citizens Redistricting Commission resumes congressional district maps in 2031?

Nov 19, 6:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

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