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Top stories

Trump Seeks $2 Billion From Congress to Beautify Washington

US Domestic Policy

Trump Seeks $2 Billion From Congress to Beautify Washington

Authors

12

6 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Says U.S. Has Stopped All Spending on Ukraine

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7

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Congressional

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District

Oct 17, 12:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43126130

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Saikat Chakrabarti

Nancy Pelosi

Christine Pelosi

London Breed

Other

Jingchao Xiong

Darren Helton

54

25

15

2

2

1

1

0

0

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

Jul 10, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.39%chance

194540

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4667

214

Will a democrat win the CA 1st congressional district special election to replace Doug LaMalfa?

Jan 6, 5:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.85%chance

53193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1948

513

Congressional Survivor: Who will be the final member in Congress?

Mar 14, 2:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

221911

OptionProbability

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, AOC (D: NY-14)

Josh Hawley (R: MO)

Rashida Tlaib (D: MI-12)

Jon Ossoff (D: GA)

Maxwell Frost (D: FL-10)

Cori Bush (D: MO-1)

Matt Gaetz (R: FL-1)

38

26

16

8

8

2

1

Will Lula's 3rd term in Brazil have above-average (>75%) congressional support?

Nov 12, 5:42 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

40.84%chance

181410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

938

Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026?

Sep 5, 8:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31075

OptionProbability

Brad Finstad

Jake Johnson

Oliver Morlan

Other

57

28

9

6

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?

Aug 5, 6:05 PMNov 5, 6:54 PM

16.1%chance

19829

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1212

937

Will there be any Congressional Special Election flips in the 119th Congress?

Dec 4, 10:41 PMNov 3, 10:59 PM

16.48%chance

2155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

225

44

Citizens Redistricting Commission resumes congressional district maps in 2031?

Nov 19, 6:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

Who will win the TN-9 Congressional District?

Jan 16, 6:36 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

246

OptionProbability

Steve Cohen (D)

Justin Pearson (D)

Other

Charlotte Bergmann (R)

James New (R)

57

16

10

9

9

Senate or Congressional hearings dealing specifically/exclusively with Wikipedia/WMF by UTC 23:59 Christmas Eve 2027?

Oct 7, 4:06 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

58.2%chance

218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

85

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 14th Congressional District

Jan 9, 5:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Matt Ortega

Abrar Qadir

Aisha Wahab

Other

25

25

25

25

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