control treaty News

Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war

Apr 8, 3:00 AMMay 15, 3:59 AM

74.69%chance

14177549

OptionVotes

YES

1674

514

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

43%chance

8712384

OptionVotes

YES

1151

869

By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea?

Sep 13, 8:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.14%chance

276183

OptionVotes

YES

4100

604

Will Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?

Jan 7, 5:36 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

23.9%chance

23948

OptionVotes

YES

430

237

Will Russia agree to a peace treaty that gives Ukraine control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?

Jun 17, 2:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.64%chance

10600

OptionVotes

YES

326

101

How many days will the Panama Canal remain closed due to military conflict during Trump's presidency?

Jan 31, 7:17 PMFeb 1, 3:59 AM

11580

OptionProbability

30+

60+

180+

360+

Will Ukraine agree to a peace treaty that gives Russia control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?

Jun 17, 2:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.83%chance

16574

OptionVotes

YES

251

At the end of the Myanmar Civil War, who will control a plurality of the population of Myanmar?

Dec 18, 11:47 PMDec 26, 7:59 AM

9267

OptionProbability

State Administration Council or successor military junta

National Unity Government in exile (Aung San Suu Kyi)

Other

A majority nondemocrtic coalition of ethnic armed groups

A majority democratic coalition of ethnic armed groups

China

control treaty News

Prediction markets for control treaty

Prediction markets for control treaty

Prediction markets for control treaty

Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea?

Will Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?

Will Russia agree to a peace treaty that gives Ukraine control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?

How many days will the Panama Canal remain closed due to military conflict during Trump's presidency?

Will Ukraine agree to a peace treaty that gives Russia control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?

At the end of the Myanmar Civil War, who will control a plurality of the population of Myanmar?

Latest stories