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Prediction markets for Cooking

Will Tim Cook retire by 2030

Oct 19, 4:22 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

99%chance

2017221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12731

527

In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3)

Sep 16, 8:37 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

50%chance

11815407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1704

1259

Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Cook?

Jan 19, 12:45 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

17.65%chance

183520

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2160

463

2026 President of the Cook County Board of Commissioners election winner

May 1, 4:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63189

OptionProbability

Toni Preckwinkle

Brendan Reilly

Other

93

4

3

Are tech employees cooked before 2028 (Layoffs.fyi layoffs)?

Apr 22, 6:24 PMMay 1, 10:59 PM

51.2%chance

72154

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

976

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?

Oct 1, 10:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61521

OptionProbability

Before 2027-01-01

Before 2026-09-01

Before 2025-11-01

Before 2025-12-01

Before 2026-01-01

Before 2026-03-01

Before 2026-06-01

17

6

0

0

0

0

0

Will a crossing of the Cook Strait, between New Zealand's North and South Islands, have started construction by 2040?

Jul 5, 9:21 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

10.17%chance

181050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1325

913

👍👎 is usa cooked [market index]

Feb 20, 4:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.79%chance

6645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1057

946

Will Tim Cook (CEO of Apple) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 10, 12:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.28%chance

6213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

361

109

How will SCOTUS rule in Trump v Cook?

Jan 22, 5:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6198

OptionProbability

7-2

8-1

9-0

6-3

5-4

Other

32

26

16

10

9

8

Will Tim Cook be alive through the end of 2060?

Jan 23, 1:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.3%chance

745

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

120

Will Tim Cook be alive through the end of 2050?

Jan 23, 1:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.6%chance

512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

102

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