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Copernicus News

Climate Change Fuels Europe’s Worst Wildfire Season on Record

Natural Disasters

Climate Change Fuels Europe’s Worst Wildfire Season on Record

13

1 year ago

Will 2027 be the hottest year on record

Oct 14, 1:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.94%chance

274033

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1601

625

Where will October 2026 rank among the warmest Octobers on record (Copernicus ERA5)?

Oct 9, 7:09 PMNov 12, 11:59 PM

6801

OptionProbability

Warmest October on record (1st)

2nd warmest

3rd warmest

4th warmest or lower

99

0

0

0

Will El Niño break NOAA's all-time record? The official ONI value for Aug–Oct 2026 (record: +2.59)

Oct 23, 7:24 PMNov 12, 11:59 PM

4406

OptionProbability

+2.45 to +2.59

Below +2.30

+2.30 to +2.44

+2.60 or higher (new record)

97

1

1

1

How warm will El Niño get? Highest weekly Niño 3.4 anomaly published by NOAA CPC for the weeks of Oct 21 – Nov 11, 2026

Oct 19, 2:48 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

4121

OptionProbability

+3.5°C

+3.4°C

+3.6°C

+3.7°C or higher

+3.3°C or lower

40

33

14

8

4

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