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Prediction markets for Copper

Will Kamoa-Kakula Project 95 be fully commissioned by 2026-12-31?

Apr 7, 1:27 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

76.54%chance

57564

OptionVotes

NO

YES

17562

6069

Will Kamoa-Kakula copper production exceed 500,000 tonnes for calendar year 2027?

Apr 7, 1:26 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

25.01%chance

36250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15680

7220

Will Eldorado Gold's acquisition result in a copper supply increase by May 11, 2026?

Feb 10, 9:01 AMMay 11, 9:01 AM

13.76%chance

41790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2504

399

Will the DRC's copper supply capacity exceed 1.5 million tonnes annually by 2027 due to US mineral deals?

Feb 9, 6:02 PMFeb 9, 6:01 PM

46.95%chance

21054

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1036

958

What is the next speculative bubble to happen no longer than December 2029?

Jul 29, 9:45 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

131015

OptionProbability

Other bubble

NO BUBBLE

Virtual reality/artificial reality

Crypto

Green commodities (copper, lithium, nickel...)

Space exploration

U.S. Real Estate

Other G7 Real Estate

Nuclear energy

India

Mexico

China

Ukraine

Russia

Superconductors

Biotech

Weight-loss drugs

Self-driving cars

EVs and batteries

United States

Japan

Europe

South America

Southeast Asia

Oil and fossil fuels

Carbon capture

Emerging market Real Estate

Defense

Everything bubble

50

15

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

China cap on copper smelting by EOY 2026?

Dec 27, 12:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.13%chance

7631

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1453

688

Grasberg block cave restarts by mid-2026?

Nov 19, 3:22 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

58.52%chance

4308

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1188

842

Will annual copper production from bio-leaching of primary sulfides exceed 10 kt by end of 2028?

Feb 9, 8:26 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

37.87%chance

8203

OptionVotes

NO

YES

681

432

Will Chile's Valeriano Mine copper production exceed 7.5 million tonnes by February 16, 2027?

Feb 16, 9:01 AMFeb 16, 9:01 AM

17.62%chance

4164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

219

38

Will Glencore's Congo deal result in a 2% increase in global copper supply by July 2026?

Feb 17, 12:02 PMFeb 17, 12:02 PM

21.63%chance

2127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

53

Will Trump's tariff policies cause copper supply chain efficiency to fall below 50 by March 2026?

Feb 21, 9:02 PMJun 21, 9:01 PM

54.81%chance

291

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Will Anglo American's Chilean copper production fall below 400,000 tonnes in 2026?

Feb 9, 6:02 PMFeb 9, 6:02 PM

45.02%chance

144

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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