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Prediction markets for Copper

Will Kamoa-Kakula Project 95 be fully commissioned by 2026-12-31?

Apr 7, 1:27 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

73%chance

1145352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15896

6630

Will Kamoa-Kakula copper production exceed 500,000 tonnes for calendar year 2027?

Apr 7, 1:26 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

16.16%chance

612570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21544

5736

Will I give birth before age 30?

Mar 9, 3:45 PMApr 16, 2:29 PM

62.48%chance

121171

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1291

775

Will the DRC's copper supply capacity exceed 1.5 million tonnes annually by 2027 due to US mineral deals?

Feb 9, 6:02 PMFeb 9, 6:01 PM

48.12%chance

31076

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

933

What is the next speculative bubble to happen no longer than December 2029?

Jul 29, 9:45 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

131015

OptionProbability

Other bubble

NO BUBBLE

Virtual reality/artificial reality

Crypto

Green commodities (copper, lithium, nickel...)

Space exploration

U.S. Real Estate

Other G7 Real Estate

Nuclear energy

India

Mexico

China

Ukraine

Russia

Superconductors

Biotech

Weight-loss drugs

Self-driving cars

EVs and batteries

United States

Japan

Europe

South America

Southeast Asia

Oil and fossil fuels

Carbon capture

Emerging market Real Estate

Defense

Everything bubble

50

15

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

China cap on copper smelting by EOY 2026?

Dec 27, 12:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.54%chance

8651

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1473

679

Will the Panguna Mine resume operations by 2028?

Apr 10, 2:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.6%chance

20453

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

889

Will Glencore's Congo deal result in a 2% increase in global copper supply by July 2026?

Feb 17, 12:02 PMFeb 17, 12:02 PM

7.15%chance

4297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

360

28

Will annual copper production from bio-leaching of primary sulfides exceed 10 kt by end of 2028?

Feb 9, 8:26 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

37.87%chance

8203

OptionVotes

NO

YES

681

432

Will Chile's Valeriano Mine copper production exceed 7.5 million tonnes by February 16, 2027?

Feb 16, 9:01 AMFeb 16, 9:01 AM

17.62%chance

4164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

219

38

Will Orion CMC's acquisition affect Glencore's DRC assets' output by 2026-12-31?

Feb 9, 6:02 PMFeb 9, 6:02 PM

41.44%chance

183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1083

937

Will Anglo American's Chilean copper production fall below 400,000 tonnes in 2026?

Feb 9, 6:02 PMFeb 9, 6:02 PM

45.46%chance

252

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

990

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