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Copper News

Will Kamoa-Kakula copper production exceed 500,000 tonnes for calendar year 2027?

Apr 7, 1:26 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

12.32%chance

716904

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25878

5023

Will the DRC's copper supply capacity exceed 1.5 million tonnes annually by 2027 due to US mineral deals?

Feb 9, 6:02 PMFeb 9, 6:01 PM

48.12%chance

31076

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

933

What is the next speculative bubble to happen no longer than December 2029?

Jul 29, 9:45 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

131015

OptionProbability

Other bubble

NO BUBBLE

Virtual reality/artificial reality

Crypto

Green commodities (copper, lithium, nickel...)

Space exploration

U.S. Real Estate

Other G7 Real Estate

Nuclear energy

India

Mexico

China

Ukraine

Russia

Superconductors

Biotech

Weight-loss drugs

Self-driving cars

EVs and batteries

United States

Japan

Europe

South America

Southeast Asia

Oil and fossil fuels

Carbon capture

Emerging market Real Estate

Defense

Everything bubble

50

15

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

China cap on copper smelting by EOY 2026?

Dec 27, 12:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.54%chance

8651

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1473

679

Will Glencore's Congo deal result in a 2% increase in global copper supply by July 2026?

Feb 17, 12:02 PMFeb 17, 12:02 PM

7.15%chance

4297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

360

28

Will Chile's Valeriano Mine copper production exceed 7.5 million tonnes by February 16, 2027?

Feb 16, 9:01 AMFeb 16, 9:01 AM

7%chance

5295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

351

22

Will annual copper production from bio-leaching of primary sulfides exceed 10 kt by end of 2028?

Feb 9, 8:26 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

37.87%chance

8203

OptionVotes

NO

YES

681

432

Will Anglo American's Chilean copper production fall below 400,000 tonnes in 2026?

Feb 9, 6:02 PMFeb 9, 6:02 PM

44.34%chance

377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1015

988

Will China's 2026 refined copper output fall more than 10% below 2025?

Nov 3, 2:16 PMJan 31, 3:12 AM

29.85%chance

457

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

63

Will China restrict exports of copper concentrate or refined copper on December 31, 2026?

Sep 28, 7:59 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

6.04%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

96

Will Rio Tinto or BHP have approved construction of the Resolution Copper mine as of December 31, 2028?

Nov 6, 4:58 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

32.04%chance

229

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1029

935

Will Freeport Indonesia be allowed to export copper concentrate on March 31, 2027?

Nov 3, 2:41 PMMar 31, 6:37 PM

22%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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