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Prediction markets for Core

Will the ChatGPT UI/UX change significantly before the end of 2025, altering core user interactions and functionality?

Jan 30, 11:54 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

62.86%chance

19694

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1177

864

What soft forks will Bitcoin Core support before 2026?

Dec 18, 3:33 PMJan 1, 9:59 AM

4559

OptionProbability

OP_CAT

OP_CHECKTEMPLATEVERIFY (BIP119)

SIGHASH_ANYPREVOUT (BIP118)

Forbid 64-byte transactions (fix for CVE-2017-12842)

OP_TX or OP_TXHASH

OP_CHECKSIGFROMSTACK

36

34

34

34

31

31

Will the "core" Jewish population of the USA be greater than that of Israel by 2030

Mar 4, 11:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.19%chance

12243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1111

949

Will any federal "non-core property" be sold to a Trump family member?

Mar 7, 5:06 PMJan 24, 4:59 AM

18.73%chance

4200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

48

Will the Research Domain Criteria term return more than 50,000 results on Web of Science core collection, on 01/01/2030?

Mar 7, 12:56 PMJan 1, 11:00 AM

24.48%chance

2182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

48

Will the core CPI have increased more than 5% YOY at the end of 2025?

Nov 6, 8:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.31%chance

4144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

874

Will scientists find a continuous, million-year ice core in Antarctica by 2028?

Dec 9, 10:02 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

76.7%chance

7133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

279

108

What process node will AMD use for the Zen 6 desktop CPU cores?

Jun 24, 7:21 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

2113

OptionProbability

TSMC N3E

TSMC N2X

TSMC N2

TSMC N2P

TSMC N3

TSMC N3P

TSMC N3X

Other

TSMC N4

TSMC N4X

29

14

11

11

6

6

6

6

5

5

Entity Framework Core v11 contains SQL MERGE support?

Jul 5, 4:31 PMNov 30, 5:31 PM

29%chance

382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

64

Will there be an FDA approved robot by 2030 that can complete the core portion of a surgery?

Oct 7, 5:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

44.56%chance

547

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

90

Will the "core" Jewish population of the UK be greater than that of Canada by 2030?

Mar 4, 11:21 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

31.63%chance

329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

93

There will be a new business vertical that uses prediction markets as a core feature by 2030

Sep 24, 3:33 PMOct 2, 6:59 AM

52.54%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

95

85

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