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Prediction markets for Core

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)

Jan 21, 6:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.2%chance

152641

OptionVotes

NO

YES

605

176

Is the cognitive core hypothesis true? Will it be clear next year?

Dec 7, 7:06 PMDec 8, 6:39 PM

36.06%chance

81166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3996

2252

What process node will AMD use for the Zen 6 desktop CPU cores?

Jun 24, 7:21 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

3664

OptionProbability

TSMC N2P

TSMC N2

TSMC 2nm (Other)

Other

TSMC N3

TSMC N3E

TSMC N3P

TSMC N3X

TSMC N2X

TSMC N4

TSMC N4X

37

24

21

4

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

Will any Macbook have >=24 CPU cores before 2030?

Oct 27, 12:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

51%chance

7634

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

980

Will the "core" Jewish population of the USA be greater than that of Israel by 2030

Mar 4, 11:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.19%chance

12243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1111

949

Will any federal "non-core property" be sold to a Trump family member?

Mar 7, 5:06 PMJan 24, 4:59 AM

17.39%chance

5210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

227

48

Will July 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 14, 3:14 AMAug 12, 12:25 PM

18.51%chance

11156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

202

56

Will the reactor core of a nuclear power plant melt before EOY 2030?

Sep 12, 10:06 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

15%chance

9137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

256

113

Will scientists find a continuous, million-year ice core in Antarctica by 2028?

Dec 9, 10:02 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

76.7%chance

7133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

279

108

Will there be an FDA approved robot by 2030 that can complete the core portion of a surgery?

Oct 7, 5:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

44.56%chance

547

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

90

Will the "core" Jewish population of the UK be greater than that of Canada by 2030?

Mar 4, 11:21 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

31.63%chance

329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

93

Will at least one major LLM publicly document graph-based RAG as a core part of its production architecture in 2026?

Jan 20, 10:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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