Corporations Act News

What will the next world-wide crisis be?

Nov 18, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

497096

OptionProbability

Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)

An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task

Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons

Other (10m+ deaths)

Worldwide Pandemic

350+ million climate-displaced persons annually

US Treasury payment default or missed obligation

Will the U.S. invoke the TikTok bill against Twitter?

Mar 26, 1:37 AMJan 21, 5:59 AM

2.26%chance

456841

OptionVotes

YES

3107

1037

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.24%chance

251469

OptionVotes

YES

1334

367

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.51%chance

10439

OptionVotes

YES

119

Will Bernie's 50% AI tax pass?

Jun 3, 5:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.7%chance

4426

OptionVotes

YES

510

UK Parliament redefines 'person' to include AI for admin by '27?

Apr 14, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.51%chance

6409

OptionVotes

YES

414

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

What was the motive of Abdulrahman Alfozan when placing a bug at OpenAI?

Oct 14, 4:04 AMOct 21, 4:01 AM

8308

OptionProbability

Not trying to steal secrets/IP, recording for other reasons

Acting as a spy at the direction of another corporation

Acting as a spy at the direction of a foreign country

Acting on his own initiative to steal secrets/IP

Whistleblowing/leaking

Alfozan is innocent, did not place the bug

The US becomes much more like Shadowrun by the end of 2029

Jan 1, 3:56 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.12%chance

2274

OptionVotes

YES

1248

802

Will Reiner Fuellmich's Nuremberg 2.0 become a reality before 2050?

Oct 31, 6:02 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

8.43%chance

130

OptionVotes

YES

130

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2026?

Feb 23, 2:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

Is collective human ethical behavior possible on big tasks?

Jun 14, 12:33 PM

120

Corporations Act News

Prediction markets for Corporations Act

Prediction markets for Corporations Act

Prediction markets for Corporations Act

What will the next world-wide crisis be?

Will the U.S. invoke the TikTok bill against Twitter?

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027?

Will Bernie's 50% AI tax pass?

UK Parliament redefines 'person' to include AI for admin by '27?

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

What was the motive of Abdulrahman Alfozan when placing a bug at OpenAI?

The US becomes much more like Shadowrun by the end of 2029

Will Reiner Fuellmich's Nuremberg 2.0 become a reality before 2050?

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2026?

Is collective human ethical behavior possible on big tasks?

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