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Prediction markets for Correct The Record

Will the leaked OpenAI "GPT 5.6 Sol" proof that nonsofic groups exist be verified as correct?

Aug 1, 6:35 AMAug 1, 6:31 AM

97.6%chance

1014031

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6376

157

Skrillex Stock

May 15, 8:54 AMMay 16, 3:59 AM

47577

OptionProbability

NO

YES

115

43

King Von Stock

May 16, 9:45 AMMay 17, 3:59 AM

61816

OptionProbability

NO

YES

123

43

Crypto: "Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high above $100,000 in 2026?"

Aug 21, 5:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7%chance

81227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

364

27

Will @EliezerYudkowsky profit on net across all #superconductivity markets?

Aug 9, 11:49 PMFeb 1, 12:59 PM

75.45%chance

151123

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1373

767

When will the first "Breakthrough” problem in FrontierMath: Open Problems be solved?

Jul 28, 6:48 AMFeb 1, 9:59 PM

41008

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2030

Before Jul 2028

Before Jan 2029

Before Jul 2029

Before Jan 2028

Before Jul 2027

Before Jan 2027

99

98

98

98

97

77

69

Will this El Niño be the strongest ever recorded?

Jul 15, 5:22 AMJun 1, 11:59 PM

54.49%chance

28953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

225

121

Will a production car achieve 0-60 mph in less than a second in 2028 or earlier?

Mar 3, 12:06 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

14.08%chance

3147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

247

40

Will a production car achieve 0-60 mph in less than a second in 2030 or earlier?

Mar 3, 12:08 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

42.63%chance

3110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

113

Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?

Jul 10, 2:06 AMSep 30, 8:05 PM

26.15%chance

7104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

78

How will I rate The Altruists, the upcoming Netflix series about FTX, out of 100? [READ DESC]

May 4, 10:46 PMMay 11, 10:28 PM

63.95%chance

436

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

75

Fred Again… Stock

May 15, 9:30 AMMay 16, 3:59 AM

120

OptionProbability

NO

YES

70

36

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