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Prediction markets for Correct The Record

Will the leaked OpenAI "GPT 5.6 Sol" proof that nonsofic groups exist be verified as correct?

Aug 1, 6:35 AMAug 1, 6:31 AM

97.6%chance

1014031

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6376

157

Skrillex Stock

May 15, 8:54 AMMay 16, 3:59 AM

47577

OptionProbability

NO

YES

115

43

King Von Stock

May 16, 9:45 AMMay 17, 3:59 AM

61816

OptionProbability

NO

YES

123

43

Crypto: "Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high above $1$126,198.07 in 2026?"

Aug 21, 5:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4%chance

101390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

490

20

Will this El Niño be the strongest ever recorded?

Jul 15, 5:22 AMJun 1, 11:59 PM

35.88%chance

311193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

285

72

Will @EliezerYudkowsky profit on net across all #superconductivity markets?

Aug 9, 11:49 PMFeb 1, 12:59 PM

75.45%chance

151123

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1373

767

When will the first “Major advance” problem in FrontierMath: Open Problems be solved?

Jul 28, 6:45 AMFeb 1, 9:59 PM

5937

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2027

Before Jul 2027

Before Jul 2029

Before Jul 2028

Before Jan 2029

Before Jan 2030

Before Jan 2028

97

97

97

96

96

96

95

Will a production car achieve 0-60 mph in less than a second in 2028 or earlier?

Mar 3, 12:06 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

36.18%chance

9268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will a production car achieve 0-60 mph in less than a second in 2030 or earlier?

Mar 3, 12:08 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

51.34%chance

6198

OptionVotes

YES

NO

141

136

Will Ilhan Omar go to prison before 2030?

Oct 24, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

21.26%chance

11173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

192

52

How will I rate The Altruists, the upcoming Netflix series about FTX, out of 100? [READ DESC]

May 4, 10:46 PMMay 11, 10:28 PM

63.95%chance

436

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

75

Fred Again… Stock

May 15, 9:30 AMMay 16, 3:59 AM

120

OptionProbability

NO

YES

70

36

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