Cortex News

Tesla (props)

Mar 7, 11:01 AMMar 7, 11:01 AM

161351

OptionProbability

Optimus robots deployed in Tesla factories (>10 units) by Dec 31, 2026

Cybercab production exceeds 500/month by Sep 30, 2026

Marques Brownlee shaves his head on camera by December 31, 2026

Cortex 2 AI cluster operational by August 1, 2026

Unsupervised FSD releases to non-employees in US by June 30, 2026

Terafab fabricates at least one chip in 2026

Tesla merges with SpaceX by December 31, 2026

TSLA stock closes above $500 before April 1, 2026

Will CGP Grey return to Cortex podcast before 2027?

Mar 1, 9:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26%chance

6269

OptionVotes

YES

169

Will Adam marblestone prefrontal cortex have more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?

Aug 22, 3:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.38%chance

2180

OptionVotes

YES

279

Will lada NUZHNA prefrontal cortex have more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?

Aug 22, 3:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.74%chance

1175

OptionVotes

YES

274

Will ed boyden prefrontal cortex turn into more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?

Aug 22, 3:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.59%chance

1173

OptionVotes

YES

224

Will Jim o'neill prefrontal cortex have more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?

Aug 22, 3:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.41%chance

2145

OptionVotes

YES

244

Will Jose Luis ricon prefrontal cortex have more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?

Aug 22, 3:24 AMAug 29, 6:59 AM

25.01%chance

275

OptionVotes

YES

173

Will there be a psychedelics + closed-loop TMS paper by EOY2028?

Nov 11, 11:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.48%chance

451

OptionVotes

YES

114

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

122

Will the Cortex podcast return to its traditional format in 2026?

Jan 1, 8:09 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

40%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

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Tesla (props)

Will CGP Grey return to Cortex podcast before 2027?

Will Adam marblestone prefrontal cortex have more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?

Will lada NUZHNA prefrontal cortex have more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?

Will ed boyden prefrontal cortex turn into more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?

Will Jim o'neill prefrontal cortex have more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?

Will Jose Luis ricon prefrontal cortex have more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?

Will there be a psychedelics + closed-loop TMS paper by EOY2028?

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

Will the Cortex podcast return to its traditional format in 2026?

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