OptionVotes
YES
NO
1062
940
194
52
OptionProbability
No
Trump understands some aspects but misunderstands the broader economic consequences
No, Trump is acting impulsively without understanding the economic implications
Trump is following advisors' strategies rather than his own understanding
Trump is deliberately creating uncertainty as a negotiation tactic
Yes
Yes, Trump has a clear strategy and understanding of his trade war goals
Trump understands the political benefits but not the economic impacts
Trump's understanding is evolving as the trade war progresses
Other
27
23
15
12
6
3
90
88
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