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Prediction markets for Court

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.88%chance

27874619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1890

1079

Will at least one other person be found guilty in a court of law for involvement in Crooks' Trump assassination attempt?

Jul 18, 2:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.72%chance

1537079

OptionVotes

YES

NO

44052

7896

Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?

Jan 22, 4:05 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12%chance

2423827

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12196

9630

Will the U.S. Supreme Court hold Trump or a member of his Cabinet in contempt?

Apr 28, 7:36 PMFeb 28, 8:36 PM

12.63%chance

2017738

OptionVotes

YES

NO

26303

3802

Will the CCRC refer Lucy Letby's case to the Court of Appeal?

Sep 9, 7:51 AMSep 1, 10:59 PM

41.33%chance

1410149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

839

Will Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?

Mar 7, 12:05 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

75.9%chance

394722

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3864

2046

Supreme Court upholds unconstitutionality of broad tariffs?

May 29, 12:35 AMJan 1, 1:23 AM

68.88%chance

384517

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1488

672

Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?

Nov 6, 10:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

384482

OptionProbability

Clarence Thomas

Samuel Alito

Sonia Sotomayor

John Roberts

Neil Gorsuch

Brett Kavanaugh

Elena Kagan

Amy Coney Barrett

Ketanji Brown Jackson

A Justice not yet seated

39

35

13

6

2

2

1

1

1

0

Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto v. Durnell before 2026?

May 19, 4:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.08%chance

124156

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5323

2519

Will Sonia Sotomayor still be on the Supreme Court at the end of 2026?

Apr 12, 5:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

85.14%chance

432980

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2911

1733

Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.)

Jul 25, 1:00 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

20%chance

352813

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1036

474

William Baude admitted to Supreme Court Bar by EOY2030?

Jun 7, 10:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.2%chance

6820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10578

9454

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