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Sixth Circuit Says FCC Data-Breach Rule Survives Congressional Review Act Challenge

3 days ago

Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?

Nov 7, 7:29 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM

4670204

OptionProbability

January 20, 2029 (Whole term)

January 20, 2026 (First year)

January 20, 2025 (Inauguration Day)

February 20, 2025 (First month)

April 29, 2025 (First 100 days)

Will there be a fraud/criminal scandal that harms EA reputation as much as the FTX crash harmed EA reputation, before 2030?

Dec 13, 12:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.47%chance

4361271

OptionVotes

YES

11722

4317

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM

16649368

OptionProbability

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.

Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.

Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.

By EOY 2025, will the model with the lowest perplexity on Common Crawl will not be based on transformers?

Jan 5, 4:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.22%chance

3310803

OptionVotes

YES

2591

618

A plane carrying NVIDIA AI chips for delivery is shot down or crashes under suspicious circumstances by mid 2027

Apr 6, 12:42 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

8%chance

295455

OptionVotes

YES

3391

295

Someone Crashes A Car Wearing Apple Vision Pro

Feb 5, 10:11 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40.8%chance

231340

OptionVotes

YES

1429

387

Will I be the subject of a Craigslist Missed Connection in the Bay Area before the end of 2025?

Jun 13, 5:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.61%chance

151034

OptionVotes

YES

1542

649

Will quantum computers, or any other type of computer, be able to crack bitcoin's ECDSA signatures before 2050?

Apr 21, 11:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.33%chance

14777

OptionVotes

YES

1068

760

Will humanity start building a Lunar Crater Radio Telescope before 2040?

Sep 3, 11:27 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.22%chance

17626

OptionVotes

YES

1009

962

Will Richard Craib's Numerai achieve a market cap of $1 billion before 2026?

Dec 6, 11:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.7%chance

3230

OptionVotes

YES

1158

863

Will TWA 800 crash lawsuit Krick v. Raytheon (Case 1:22-cv-11032-AK) be ruled in favor of the plaintiffs?

Jun 1, 8:09 PMJun 2, 5:59 AM

47.04%chance

4170

OptionVotes

YES

1061

942

How many times will Kirby's dreamland 2 crash?

Aug 16, 2:16 AMAug 23, 2:11 AM

OptionProbability

6-10

10-15

15-20

20+

Other

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Aug 13, 2025
Aug 13, 2025
US Judiciary
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Sixth Circuit Says FCC Data-Breach Rule Survives Congressional Review Act Challenge
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Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?

Will there be a fraud/criminal scandal that harms EA reputation as much as the FTX crash harmed EA reputation, before 2030?

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

By EOY 2025, will the model with the lowest perplexity on Common Crawl will not be based on transformers?

A plane carrying NVIDIA AI chips for delivery is shot down or crashes under suspicious circumstances by mid 2027

Someone Crashes A Car Wearing Apple Vision Pro

Will I be the subject of a Craigslist Missed Connection in the Bay Area before the end of 2025?

Will quantum computers, or any other type of computer, be able to crack bitcoin's ECDSA signatures before 2050?

Will humanity start building a Lunar Crater Radio Telescope before 2040?

Will Richard Craib's Numerai achieve a market cap of $1 billion before 2026?

Will TWA 800 crash lawsuit Krick v. Raytheon (Case 1:22-cv-11032-AK) be ruled in favor of the plaintiffs?

How many times will Kirby's dreamland 2 crash?

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