OptionProbability
OpenAI/Microsoft
Deepmind/Google/Alphabet
Anthropic
xAI or another Elon Musk-led AI initiative
Another specific company (not one of the above or a subsidiary)
A government or coalition of governments
Meta (Facebook) AI Research
A university/academic institute/independent researcher/non-profit organization or a combination of these
28
24
11
10
9
7
1
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1629
626
Labor > Catastrophic > Deepfakes
Labor > Deepfakes > Catastrophic
Catastrophic > Labor > Deepfakes
Deepfakes > Labor > Catastrophic
Catastrophic > Deepfakes > Labor
Deepfakes > Catastrophic > Labor
41
38
8
5
4
3
10255
9775