Creative Writing News

NO

NO

The top Elo score on the EQ-Bench Creative Writing v3 leaderboard exceeds 2000 before 2027-01-01

At least three major AI labs (xAI, OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind) release public multi-LLM agentic reasoning models before 2027-01-01

xAI makes an official public announcement claiming achievement of AGI before 2027-01-01

Anthropic makes an official public announcement claiming achievement of AGI before 2027-01-01

OpenAI makes an official public announcement claiming achievement of AGI before 2027-01-01

Google DeepMind makes an official public announcement claiming achievement of AGI before 2027-01-01

NO

NO

YES

Only those that have heard the goosepel

Other

the old man rasped, the casing warm against his boot. echoing over the marsh, an answer. a terminal HONK

No, geese see dog.

Only right before they die

By Jan 1st 2030

By Jan 1st 2029

By Jan 1st 2028

By Jan 1st 2027

YES

NO

NO

it will make AI models better at agentic tasks (such as OSWorld and SWE-bench)

It will allow AI models to become much better at working with long-context

It will allow AI models to learn at test time

It will allow AI models to hallucinate much less

It will allow AI models to use long context more efficiently

It will make make AI models better at visual reasoning

It will make AI models much better at answering competitive math questions