Creator AI News

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

6.24%chance

601534239

OptionVotes

YES

40457

17876

What were the motives of the UnitedHealthcare CEO assassin?

Dec 4, 6:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

687491307

OptionProbability

Chronic Back Pain

A set of radical beliefs that do not fit on a strict left/right paradigm

An attempt to terrorize people into bringing down the system of private insurance in the United States

Wrongful delay or deny insurance claims

An attempt to change the incentive structure present at the CEO level of UHC and similar companies

Mental illness

Radical Leftism

Fame

Assassin suffered a personal tragedy at the hands of UnitedHealthcare

Manipulation of the share price of UnitedHealth Inc for profit.

Targeted hit/contract killing

Business

Genetic predisposition (Italian)

Personal conflict with CEO

brainwashed right wing anti-vax lunatic

Zizian Murder Cult member

Random act of violence

Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.

Dec 5, 4:35 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM

3.21%chance

6784562

OptionVotes

YES

59041

3675

New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?

Dec 28, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41239768

OptionProbability

The case will settle out of court

The New York Times will win the lawsuit

OpenAI will win the lawsuit

Other

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Apr 1, 2:29 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

94.25%chance

10032064

OptionVotes

YES

4865

283

Will AGI arrive before Frozen 3?

Apr 25, 5:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.69%chance

216349

OptionVotes

YES

5359

1039

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

May 21, 6:20 PMDec 31, 6:37 PM

84871

OptionProbability

Gallium

Neodymium

Germanium

Antimony

Dysprosium

Terbium

Yttrium

Tantalum

Rhenium

Indium

Tellurium

Samarium

Silver

Will the creators of "South Park" both be killed by AI before "South Park" is officially cancelled?

Mar 24, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.52%chance

132287

OptionVotes

YES

2226

883

Will Euclid space telescope lower my credence in the standard model of cosmology?

Jul 23, 4:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.74%chance

321956

OptionVotes

YES

6059

5939

Which of 1password or Bitwarden will have user secrets exposed in a security breach first?

Feb 29, 1:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

321030

OptionProbability

1password

Bitwarden

Interaction Company of California (creator of Poke AI assistant) acquired before 2028?

Sep 21, 10:47 PMJan 1, 12:24 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

Would you like if Manifold AI will not only be able to summarize a creator’s comments, but actually resolve the outcome

Dec 3, 8:33 AM

390

Creator AI News

Prediction markets for Creator AI

Prediction markets for Creator AI

Prediction markets for Creator AI

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

What were the motives of the UnitedHealthcare CEO assassin?

Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.

New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Will AGI arrive before Frozen 3?

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

Will the creators of "South Park" both be killed by AI before "South Park" is officially cancelled?

Will Euclid space telescope lower my credence in the standard model of cosmology?

Which of 1password or Bitwarden will have user secrets exposed in a security breach first?

Interaction Company of California (creator of Poke AI assistant) acquired before 2028?

Would you like if Manifold AI will not only be able to summarize a creator’s comments, but actually resolve the outcome

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