Creator AI News

What were the motives of the UnitedHealthcare CEO assassin?

Dec 4, 6:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

667472675

OptionProbability

A set of radical beliefs that do not fit on a strict left/right paradigm

An attempt to terrorize people into bringing down the system of private insurance in the United States

Wrongful delay or deny insurance claims

An attempt to change the incentive structure present at the CEO level of UHC and similar companies

Mental illness

Chronic Back Pain

Radical Leftism

Fame

Assassin suffered a personal tragedy at the hands of UnitedHealthcare

Manipulation of the share price of UnitedHealth Inc for profit.

Business

Targeted hit/contract killing

Genetic predisposition (Italian)

Zizian Murder Cult member

Personal conflict with CEO

brainwashed right wing anti-vax lunatic

Random act of violence

Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.

Dec 5, 4:35 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM

3.31%chance

6783631

OptionVotes

YES

57797

3717

New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?

Dec 28, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41239715

OptionProbability

The case will settle out of court

The New York Times will win the lawsuit

OpenAI will win the lawsuit

Other

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Apr 1, 2:29 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.03%chance

9525701

OptionVotes

YES

2522

563

What organization will be the first to create AGI?

Sep 5, 2:45 AMSep 12, 4:59 AM

22023177

OptionProbability

Anthropic

OpenAI

DeepMind

Other

Elon's X.AI company

The US Government (DARPA or Similar Org)

The Chinese Communist Party

DeepSeek

A single individual not listed here

Google Brain

IBM

Microsoft

Will AGI arrive before Frozen 3?

Apr 25, 5:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.72%chance

205734

OptionVotes

YES

4744

1120

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Mar 3, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

685340

OptionProbability

Deepmind/Google/Alphabet

Anthropic

OpenAI/Microsoft

Another specific company (not one of the above or a subsidiary)

xAI or another Elon Musk-led AI initiative

A government or coalition of governments

Meta (Facebook) AI Research

A university/academic institute/independent researcher/non-profit organization or a combination of these

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

May 21, 6:20 PMDec 31, 6:37 PM

53421

OptionProbability

Gallium

Germanium

Neodymium

Antimony

Dysprosium

Terbium

Yttrium

Tantalum

Rhenium

Indium

Tellurium

Samarium

Silver

Will the creators of "South Park" both be killed by AI before "South Park" is officially cancelled?

Mar 24, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.3%chance

132181

OptionVotes

YES

2332

878

Which of 1password or Bitwarden will have user secrets exposed in a security breach first?

Feb 29, 1:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

321030

OptionProbability

1password

Bitwarden

Interaction Company of California (creator of Poke AI assistant) acquired before 2028?

Sep 21, 10:47 PMJan 1, 12:24 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

Would you like if Manifold AI will not only be able to summarize a creator’s comments, but actually resolve the outcome

Dec 3, 8:33 AM

390

Creator AI News

Prediction markets for Creator AI

Prediction markets for Creator AI

Prediction markets for Creator AI

What were the motives of the UnitedHealthcare CEO assassin?

Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.

New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

What organization will be the first to create AGI?

Will AGI arrive before Frozen 3?

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

Will the creators of "South Park" both be killed by AI before "South Park" is officially cancelled?

Which of 1password or Bitwarden will have user secrets exposed in a security breach first?

Interaction Company of California (creator of Poke AI assistant) acquired before 2028?

Would you like if Manifold AI will not only be able to summarize a creator’s comments, but actually resolve the outcome

Latest stories