Creator AI News

What were the motives of the UnitedHealthcare CEO assassin?

Dec 4, 6:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

663461169

OptionProbability

A set of radical beliefs that do not fit on a strict left/right paradigm

An attempt to terrorize people into bringing down the system of private insurance in the United States

Wrongful delay or deny insurance claims

An attempt to change the incentive structure present at the CEO level of UHC and similar companies

Chronic Back Pain

Mental illness

Radical Leftism

Fame

Assassin suffered a personal tragedy at the hands of UnitedHealthcare

Business

Manipulation of the share price of UnitedHealth Inc for profit.

Genetic predisposition (Italian)

Zizian Murder Cult member

Targeted hit/contract killing

brainwashed right wing anti-vax lunatic

Personal conflict with CEO

Random act of violence

Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.

Dec 5, 4:35 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM

3.11%chance

6280577

OptionVotes

YES

60251

3636

New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?

Dec 28, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41139585

OptionProbability

The case will settle out of court

The New York Times will win the lawsuit

OpenAI will win the lawsuit

Other

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Apr 1, 2:29 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.03%chance

9525701

OptionVotes

YES

2522

563

What organization will be the first to create AGI?

Sep 5, 2:45 AMSep 12, 4:59 AM

21822738

OptionProbability

DeepMind

OpenAI

Other

Anthropic

Elon's X.AI company

The US Government (DARPA or Similar Org)

The Chinese Communist Party

DeepSeek

A single individual not listed here

Google Brain

IBM

Microsoft

During the Super Bowl, will Trump whine about Bad Bunny like a pathetic little bitch?

Feb 3, 9:47 PMFeb 8, 11:59 PM

71.76%chance

1379694

OptionVotes

YES

1594

627

Will AGI arrive before Frozen 3?

Apr 25, 5:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.9%chance

194054

OptionVotes

YES

4453

1165

Will a SotA AI model be trained to think in "neuralese" instead of human language by the end of 2030? (ACX, AI 2027 #5)

Apr 8, 7:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73%chance

252543

OptionVotes

YES

1646

609

Will the creators of "South Park" both be killed by AI before "South Park" is officially cancelled?

Mar 24, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.3%chance

132181

OptionVotes

YES

2332

878

Which of 1password or Bitwarden will have user secrets exposed in a security breach first?

Feb 29, 1:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32930

OptionProbability

1password

Bitwarden

Interaction Company of California (creator of Poke AI assistant) acquired before 2028?

Sep 21, 10:47 PMJan 1, 12:24 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

Would you like if Manifold AI will not only be able to summarize a creator’s comments, but actually resolve the outcome

Dec 3, 8:33 AM

390

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What were the motives of the UnitedHealthcare CEO assassin?

Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.

New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

What organization will be the first to create AGI?

During the Super Bowl, will Trump whine about Bad Bunny like a pathetic little bitch?

Will AGI arrive before Frozen 3?

Will a SotA AI model be trained to think in "neuralese" instead of human language by the end of 2030? (ACX, AI 2027 #5)

Will the creators of "South Park" both be killed by AI before "South Park" is officially cancelled?

Which of 1password or Bitwarden will have user secrets exposed in a security breach first?

Interaction Company of California (creator of Poke AI assistant) acquired before 2028?

Would you like if Manifold AI will not only be able to summarize a creator’s comments, but actually resolve the outcome

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