OptionProbability
No never
Yes by 2030
Yes by 2028
Yes by 2025
68
31
23
2
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2902
345
947
231
191
52
DeepSeek
Zhipu / Z.ai
Other (any company not listed above)
Xiaomi
Google
Alibaba (Qwen)
MiniMax
Tencent
Moonshot AI
StepFun
Anthropic
OpenAI
16
10
9
8
5