OptionProbability
No never
Yes by 2030
Yes by 2028
Yes by 2025
68
31
25
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2902
345
922
244
141
71
DeepSeek
Anthropic
Xiaomi
Google
Alibaba (Qwen)
MiniMax
Tencent
OpenAI
Moonshot AI
Zhipu / Z.ai
StepFun
Other (any company not listed above)
14
8