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Top stories

Google’s ‘Nano Banana’ AI Model Launches as Higgsfield Offers Year-Long Free Use

Google’s ‘Nano Banana’ AI Model Launches as Higgsfield Offers Year-Long Free Use

Authors

26

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Creator

Will Allan Lichtman (creator of the 13 Keys) correctly predict the 2028 election?

Oct 14, 12:17 AMDec 1, 7:59 AM

67.06%chance

177310

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1427

701

🐲 Will I Slay all 20 Top Creators by the end of 2026?

Nov 2, 1:50 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM

3.43%chance

134407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5303

189

Will the creator of any cryptocurrency be imprisoned for creating it before 2033?

Dec 11, 2:41 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

5.49%chance

213037

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2050

707

Will the creators of "South Park" both be killed by AI before "South Park" is officially cancelled?

Mar 24, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.3%chance

132181

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2332

878

Will Alexandra Elbakyan (creator of Sci-Hub) ever receive a Nobel Prize?

Dec 11, 12:41 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

8.89%chance

271091

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1057

970

Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before the "Top creators" one?

Mar 3, 5:23 PMDec 8, 9:35 PM

25.25%chance

15869

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

931

Will Eugen Rochko (creator of Mastodon) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Dec 21, 12:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.71%chance

10419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1191

957

Will Manifold market creators go on strike at any point before 2028?

May 12, 9:43 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

17.23%chance

19411

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

101

If a market creator who is well-known in the real world resolves a market in a way that they believe to be correct, but Manifold admins believe to be incorrect, will they treat that market differently from the markets of non-famous users?

Dec 15, 1:31 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

31.49%chance

12146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1054

966

Will the first account to surpass me on the Creator leaderboard be found to be a friend or alt of BTE within 12 months?

Feb 27, 6:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.95%chance

461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

78

Will the person who slays me on the creator leaderboard have a user creation date from before I reached #1?

Dec 11, 6:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.58%chance

320

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Interaction Company of California (creator of Poke AI assistant) acquired before 2028?

Sep 21, 10:47 PMJan 1, 12:24 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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