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Top stories

Google’s ‘Nano Banana’ AI Model Launches as Higgsfield Offers Year-Long Free Use

Google’s ‘Nano Banana’ AI Model Launches as Higgsfield Offers Year-Long Free Use

Authors

26

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Creator

Will Allan Lichtman (creator of the 13 Keys) correctly predict the 2028 election?

Oct 14, 12:17 AMDec 1, 7:59 AM

67.06%chance

177310

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1427

701

🐲 Will I Slay all 20 Top Creators by the end of 2026?

Nov 2, 1:50 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM

3.43%chance

134407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5303

189

Will the creator of any cryptocurrency be imprisoned for creating it before 2033?

Dec 11, 2:41 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

5.49%chance

213037

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2050

707

Will the creators of "South Park" both be killed by AI before "South Park" is officially cancelled?

Mar 24, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.3%chance

132181

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2332

878

Will Alexandra Elbakyan (creator of Sci-Hub) ever receive a Nobel Prize?

Dec 11, 12:41 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

8.89%chance

271091

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1057

970

🐲Who will Slay me on the creator leaderboard?

Dec 11, 3:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8952

OptionProbability

Other

CateHall

Plasma Ballin

Tripping

Joshua

Tomek

Franklin Baldo

jim

Richard Hanania

Conflux

eburk

Ammon Lam

Jack

memestiny

Isaac King

Snazzlepop

Niko

tjohnson314

Data Chef

BTE

Tumbles

Predictor

Bayesian

Jackson Polack

70

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before the "Top creators" one?

Mar 3, 5:23 PMDec 8, 9:35 PM

25.25%chance

15869

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

931

Will Eugen Rochko (creator of Mastodon) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Dec 21, 12:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.71%chance

10419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1191

957

Will Manifold market creators go on strike at any point before 2028?

May 12, 9:43 AMMay 19, 11:59 AM

14.27%chance

15247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1145

941

If a market creator who is well-known in the real world resolves a market in a way that they believe to be correct, but Manifold admins believe to be incorrect, will they treat that market differently from the markets of non-famous users?

Dec 15, 1:31 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

31.49%chance

12146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1054

966

Will the first account to surpass me on the Creator leaderboard be found to be a friend or alt of BTE within 12 months?

Feb 27, 6:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.95%chance

461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

78

Interaction Company of California (creator of Poke AI assistant) acquired before 2028?

Sep 21, 10:47 PMJan 1, 12:24 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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