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Prediction markets for Crew

Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?

Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM

2.63%chance

317843

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6627

496

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?

Dec 25, 1:02 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

28.1%chance

375382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1095

943

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2040?

Dec 23, 2:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

45%chance

304166

OptionVotes

NO

YES

996

996

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2045?

Dec 24, 12:47 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

62.47%chance

373350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1269

769

Will the next successful crewed landing on the Moon be done in a Starship derived vehicle?

Sep 15, 4:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.61%chance

243347

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1409

342

Will at least one crewed Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2028/2029 launch window?

Sep 8, 12:29 AMMar 31, 3:59 PM

6.78%chance

62935

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3708

270

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2050?

Dec 15, 1:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

29.37%chance

282087

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1037

852

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055?

Dec 29, 1:15 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

77%chance

211912

OptionVotes

NO

YES

261

151

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2060?

Dec 17, 11:09 AMFeb 5, 10:59 PM

44.46%chance

271801

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1190

626

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2055?

Dec 16, 3:54 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

42.39%chance

311682

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1165

679

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2055?

Dec 24, 12:28 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

44.54%chance

211094

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1212

587

What will happen with Cursed Crew's development?

Jun 25, 4:29 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

Curse update released in 2025

Game is cancelled 😢

Game leaves early access in 2025

Game leaves early access in 2026

Game gets 1,000 Steam reviews before 2027

50

50

50

50

50

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