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Prediction markets for Critics Choice

If Trump is elected, will Biden go to prison for treason related to his border policies?

Oct 23, 5:07 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

2.5%chance

469723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6250

160

During the Super Bowl, will Trump whine about Bad Bunny like a pathetic little bitch?

Feb 3, 9:47 PMFeb 8, 11:59 PM

75.05%chance

371957

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1734

577

Will Manifold help me secure 1:1 tutoring students I love working with by EOY 2025?

Dec 1, 3:21 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

23.97%chance

111852

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1781

562

Who will win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jan 7, 11:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81706

OptionProbability

Timothée Chalamet

Leonardo DiCaprio

Michael B. Jordan

Wagner Moura

Ethan Hawke

Jeremy Allen White

Dwayne Johnson

Jesse Plemons

Joel Edgerton

Paul Mescal

Brad Pitt

Vahid Mobasseri

George Clooney

Colin Farrell

Sergi Lopez

Lee Byung-hun

Oscar Issac

Other

72

11

7

3

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Which film will win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jan 6, 1:01 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

111349

OptionProbability

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

Sentimental Value

The Secret Agent

Train Dreams

Frankenstein

It Was Just an Accident

Wicked: For Good

Avatar: Fire and Ash

F1

Bugonia

No Other Choice

Jay Kelly

Weapons

The Testament of Ann Lee

Other

71

17

4

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Rotten Tomatoes 'Popcornmeter' All Audience Score for 'Melania'? 🍿 (2026)

Feb 3, 10:38 AMFeb 15, 11:59 PM

6934

OptionProbability

20% – 29%

30% – 39%

0% – 9%

10% – 19%

40% or Higher

53

39

3

3

3

Who will be Google's CEO in 2026?

Mar 17, 2:30 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

14780

OptionProbability

Sundar Pichai

Demis Hassabi

Other

Prabhakar Raghavan

Jeff Dean

77

10

8

3

2

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the MCAT without cheating before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:37 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

86.64%chance

16674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1123

959

Does One Battle After Another have what it takes to win Best Picture at the 98th Oscars?

Jan 9, 10:20 PMMar 15, 11:59 PM

69%chance

6417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

149

67

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the MCAT without cheating before 2030?

Jun 1, 6:37 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

69.86%chance

499

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

88

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jan 28, 1:58 AMMar 15, 11:59 PM

62.55%chance

389

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

77

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