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Prediction markets for Critics Choice

Will Zelensky wear a tie in 2025?

Jul 7, 8:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.3%chance

2111757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5409

185

If Trump is elected, will Biden go to prison for treason related to his border policies?

Oct 23, 5:07 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

2.5%chance

469723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6250

160

Will Manifold help me secure 1:1 tutoring students I love working with by EOY 2025?

Dec 1, 3:21 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

50.65%chance

7826

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

987

Who will be Google's CEO in 2026?

Mar 17, 2:30 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

13740

OptionProbability

Sundar Pichai

Demis Hassabi

Other

Prabhakar Raghavan

Jeff Dean

72

14

9

3

2

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the MCAT without cheating before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:37 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

86.64%chance

16674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1123

959

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the MCAT without cheating before 2030?

Jun 1, 6:37 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

69.86%chance

499

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

88

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