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Prediction markets for Crypto

When will Kalshi launch a crypto platform?

Aug 25, 5:56 PMDec 31, 6:45 PM

1214366

OptionProbability

2026 H1

2026 H2

After 2027 or never

2027

2025

37

28

18

14

3

Crypto currency retail trading will be banned in the USA before the end of 2027 due to use in war/terrorism/etc

Mar 22, 8:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.85%chance

54971

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2727

367

Will at least half of Americans (aged 30-40) possess crypto currency by 2060?

Nov 7, 4:30 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

65.83%chance

224320

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1185

738

Will an EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?

Feb 20, 6:13 AMFeb 28, 5:00 AM

90.33%chance

463285

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2396

728

Will >10 EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, including crypto or inheritance?

Dec 10, 1:36 PMFeb 28, 5:00 AM

86.43%chance

212078

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1953

86

Will there be an analogue of executive order 6102 for crypto, making ownership illegal?

Aug 23, 7:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.11%chance

502040

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1147

947

US Crypto reserve hacked or disappeared before January 20, 2029?

Mar 25, 1:45 AMJan 19, 11:59 PM

31.02%chance

8917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1491

671

Will >10 people committed to EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become billionaires (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?

Dec 10, 1:35 PMFeb 28, 5:00 AM

39.6%chance

19799

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1192

506

Will the total crypto market cap reach >10 trillion USDe before 2030?

Sep 29, 5:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.18%chance

17671

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

978

Will USDC exceed 10% of crypto?

Nov 11, 11:53 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

21.99%chance

10276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

949

Will crypto currency payments be a common thing for millions of people on any continent?

Nov 8, 2:31 AMDec 15, 10:59 PM

60.78%chance

1245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1245

803

Will the US ban businesses/merchants from receiving large crypto transfers from non-'KYC'ed self-hosted wallets?

Mar 24, 3:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.56%chance

14166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

999

996

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