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Prediction markets for Crypto Trading

When will Kalshi launch a crypto platform?

Aug 25, 5:56 PMDec 31, 6:45 PM

1214216

OptionProbability

2026 H1

2026 H2

After 2027 or never

2027

2025

38

27

18

14

3

Bitcoin price >$100,000 in February 2026

Jan 29, 6:58 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

2.72%chance

182302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

598

17

Will something horrible happen to Kalshi deposits by 2030?

Mar 21, 2:55 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

81068

OptionProbability

Nothing horrible happens

Internal fraud/embezzlement

Bank or financial partner failure

Cybersecurity breach/hack

Regulatory crackdown with asset seizure

Other

84

3

3

3

3

3

Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?

Aug 12, 9:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

57.1%chance

8909

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

867

AI starts crypto trading, seize the entirety of value from every chain and token, ultimately driving them to zero? 📉

Apr 1, 11:18 AMApr 1, 3:59 PM

6.17%chance

12628

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1385

915

Will the identity of the March 2, 2025 crypto long bet whale be revealed?

Mar 3, 12:37 PMMar 2, 11:59 PM

8.08%chance

5434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

349

34

Will someone successfully launder mana into real money?

Jan 19, 12:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.8%chance

13417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

241

100

BIFI (Beefy Finance) reaches 1000 before March 31?

Jan 10, 7:11 AMMar 30, 11:59 PM

8.89%chance

4290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

320

31

Polymarket exceeds $10B monthly trading volume in Dec 2027?

Nov 20, 4:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.09%chance

4145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Value of largest Polymarket airdrop allocation?

Oct 2, 3:51 PMJan 1, 4:47 PM

1100

OptionProbability

0

100 - 999

1,000 - 9,999

10,000 - 99,999

100,000-499,999

500,000-999,999

1,000,000+

1 - 99

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

11

Crypto stock (permanent)

Apr 25, 5:33 PMApr 25, 10:59 PM

228

OptionProbability

NO

YES

62

40

What are the best 10 crypto traders on Twitter?

Jan 26, 4:27 PM

00

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