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Prediction markets for Culture

If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?

Jan 21, 10:37 PMNov 30, 10:59 PM

59.99%chance

7413803

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1082

920

Will a cell cultured meat product be easily purchasable at my local Walmart by the end of 2028?

Jan 7, 7:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.35%chance

464910

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2770

166

When will cultured meat take up 10% of the total animal-based meat market of any country?

Nov 27, 1:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25.86%chance

241845

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1210

903

Estimated timeline for lab-cultured meat in grocery stores within the next few decades? (Previously asked question)

Dec 21, 9:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

331345

OptionProbability

2020s

2030s

2040s

2050s

2060s

Other

60

38

2

0

0

0

After the 2026 midterms, will I feel like US culture has trended towards greater wokeness in the 2 years prior?

Jan 3, 8:19 AMNov 5, 7:59 AM

37.13%chance

10860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1301

768

Will the federal government ban the sale or making of cultured meat throughout US by the end of 2028?

Apr 2, 6:43 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

9.46%chance

11794

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1726

863

Which of these are major culture war topics in 2029? (Inspired by Nathan Young)

Mar 11, 4:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10264

OptionProbability

AI (including AI safety, AI ethics, e/acc)

Culture war. Culture war never changes. (I.E. it's still the same main stuff as in March 2024)

Artificial wombs

Eugenics

Polyamory

Child labor

66

45

31

25

24

24

Will UFOs be recognized as a culture-bound illness/mass hysteria before 2050?

Oct 19, 3:21 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

37%chance

8243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

95

In 100 years, will Cancel Culture be broadly seen as a beneficial movement by our (human) descendants?

Dec 13, 6:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.7%chance

11235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

957

How many states will ban the sale or making of cultured meat by the end of 2028?

Apr 2, 6:34 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6220

OptionProbability

0-2

6-8

2-4

4-6

8-10

10-12

12-14

14-16

16-18

18-20

20-22

22-24

24-26

26-28

28-30

30-32

32-34

34-36

36-38

38-40

40-42

42-44

44-46

46-48

48-50

48

43

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Fake axolotl meat from axolotl tissue cultures available to buy by EOY2029

Sep 16, 8:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.75%chance

4212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

304

33

Will the United States win a diplomatic, cultural, or scientific victory IRL by EOY 2100?

Dec 23, 7:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.79%chance

11164

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1029

973

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