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Prediction markets for Culture

If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?

Jan 21, 10:37 PMNov 30, 10:59 PM

68.14%chance

7313465

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1320

787

Will any of the Magic: The Gathering "culturally insensitive cards" be reprinted or unbanned by the end of 2026?

Jan 30, 6:36 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

1.73%chance

235017

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5809

746

Will a cell cultured meat product be easily purchasable at my local Walmart by the end of 2028?

Jan 7, 7:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.07%chance

454410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2270

225

When will I be able to buy cultured meat at a random Whole Foods?

Nov 15, 2:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

304007

OptionProbability

Later than 2026

2026

2025

2024

93

4

2

0

When will cultured meat take up 10% of the total animal-based meat market of any country?

Nov 27, 1:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25.86%chance

241845

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1210

903

Estimated timeline for lab-cultured meat in grocery stores within the next few decades? (Previously asked question)

Dec 21, 9:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

331345

OptionProbability

2020s

2030s

2040s

2050s

2060s

Other

60

38

2

0

0

0

After the 2026 midterms, will I feel like US culture has trended towards greater wokeness in the 2 years prior?

Jan 3, 8:19 AMNov 5, 7:59 AM

34.05%chance

10810

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1392

718

Will the federal government ban the sale or making of cultured meat throughout US by the end of 2028?

Apr 2, 6:43 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13.65%chance

10294

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

927

In 100 years, will Cancel Culture be broadly seen as a beneficial movement by our (human) descendants?

Dec 13, 6:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.7%chance

11235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

957

Will the United States win a diplomatic, cultural, or scientific victory IRL by EOY 2100?

Dec 23, 7:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.79%chance

11164

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1029

973

High-budget Culture Series movie before 2035?

Apr 6, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.1%chance

7134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

182

55

Will Jose Ricon donate his own fibroblast or endothelial or iPSC cell lines to be cultured?

Sep 19, 5:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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