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Prediction markets for Culture

If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?

Jan 21, 10:37 PMNov 30, 10:59 PM

68.14%chance

7313465

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1320

787

Will any of the Magic: The Gathering "culturally insensitive cards" be reprinted or unbanned by the end of 2026?

Jan 30, 6:36 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

1.82%chance

224767

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5559

750

Will a cell cultured meat product be easily purchasable at my local Walmart by the end of 2028?

Jan 7, 7:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.25%chance

443534

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1647

366

When will cell cultured meat product be easily purchasable in the US?

Sep 24, 3:47 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

282296

OptionProbability

2028+

2027

2026

2025

2024

67

18

10

4

1

When will cultured meat take up 10% of the total animal-based meat market of any country?

Nov 27, 1:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25.86%chance

241845

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1210

903

Estimated timeline for lab-cultured meat in grocery stores within the next few decades? (Previously asked question)

Dec 21, 9:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

331345

OptionProbability

2020s

2030s

2040s

2050s

2060s

Other

60

38

2

0

0

0

After the 2026 midterms, will I feel like US culture has trended towards greater wokeness in the 2 years prior?

Jan 3, 8:19 AMNov 5, 7:59 AM

34.05%chance

10810

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1392

718

Will the federal government ban the sale or making of cultured meat throughout US by the end of 2028?

Apr 2, 6:43 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13.65%chance

10294

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

927

Which of these are major culture war topics in 2029? (Inspired by Nathan Young)

Mar 11, 4:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10264

OptionProbability

AI (including AI safety, AI ethics, e/acc)

Culture war. Culture war never changes. (I.E. it's still the same main stuff as in March 2024)

Artificial wombs

Eugenics

Polyamory

Child labor

66

45

31

25

24

24

In 100 years, will Cancel Culture be broadly seen as a beneficial movement by our (human) descendants?

Dec 13, 6:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.7%chance

11235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

957

Will the United States win a diplomatic, cultural, or scientific victory IRL by EOY 2100?

Dec 23, 7:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.79%chance

11164

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1029

973

Will Jose Ricon donate his own fibroblast or endothelial or iPSC cell lines to be cultured?

Sep 19, 5:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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