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Prediction markets for Culture

Will there be an AI culture war in 2025?

Jan 3, 12:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.83%chance

11516238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2870

348

If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?

Jan 21, 10:37 PMNov 30, 10:59 PM

68.14%chance

7313465

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1320

787

Will the sentience or consciousness of AI become a left/right culture war issue before 2026?

Apr 9, 2:25 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

4.76%chance

868156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5344

791

Will Trump ban lab-grown (cultured) meat before 2026?

Nov 6, 5:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.41%chance

234976

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5324

188

Will a cell cultured meat product be easily purchasable at my local Walmart by the end of 2028?

Jan 7, 7:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.35%chance

443434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1547

402

Will cultured meat be affordably available in Canada before the end of 2025?

Jan 1, 8:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.61%chance

142485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3485

287

When will cultured meat take up 10% of the total animal-based meat market of any country?

Nov 27, 1:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25.86%chance

241845

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1210

903

EA will have a noticeably less sexually libertine culture in 2025 for the 90th percentile EA, than before 2023, looking back.

Mar 1, 6:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.67%chance

341131

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1226

793

After the 2026 midterms, will I feel like US culture has trended towards greater wokeness in the 2 years prior?

Jan 3, 8:19 AMNov 5, 7:59 AM

32.47%chance

9785

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1442

693

In 100 years, will Cancel Culture be broadly seen as a beneficial movement by our (human) descendants?

Dec 13, 6:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.7%chance

11235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

957

Will the federal government ban the sale or making of cultured meat throughout US by the end of 2028?

Apr 2, 6:43 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.91%chance

10194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1126

944

Will the United States win a diplomatic, cultural, or scientific victory IRL by EOY 2100?

Dec 23, 7:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.79%chance

11164

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1029

973

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