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Prediction markets for Culture

If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?

Jan 21, 10:37 PMNov 30, 10:59 PM

65.4%chance

7613969

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1232

831

Will a cell cultured meat product be easily purchasable at my local Walmart by the end of 2028?

Jan 7, 7:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.35%chance

464910

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2770

166

How much will cultured meat cost at the end of 2030?

Jan 24, 6:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

242204

OptionProbability

<$50/lb

<$20/lb

<$10/lb

<$5/lb

38

27

17

9

When will cultured meat take up 10% of the total animal-based meat market of any country?

Nov 27, 1:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25.86%chance

241845

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1210

903

Estimated timeline for lab-cultured meat in grocery stores within the next few decades? (Previously asked question)

Dec 21, 9:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

341445

OptionProbability

2020s

2030s

2040s

2050s

2060s

Other

50

46

4

0

0

0

After the 2026 midterms, will I feel like US culture has trended towards greater wokeness in the 2 years prior?

Jan 3, 8:19 AMNov 5, 7:59 AM

23.56%chance

111360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1801

555

Will the federal government ban the sale or making of cultured meat throughout US by the end of 2028?

Apr 2, 6:43 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

9.46%chance

11794

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1726

863

What will be the second cell cultured meat species to be approved by the USDA

Aug 5, 3:07 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

7399

OptionProbability

Pork

Seafood

Beef

Lamb

Duck

Other

62

17

16

2

2

2

In 100 years, will Cancel Culture be broadly seen as a beneficial movement by our (human) descendants?

Dec 13, 6:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.7%chance

11235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

957

How many states will ban the sale or making of cultured meat by the end of 2028?

Apr 2, 6:34 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6220

OptionProbability

0-2

6-8

2-4

4-6

8-10

10-12

12-14

14-16

16-18

18-20

20-22

22-24

24-26

26-28

28-30

30-32

32-34

34-36

36-38

38-40

40-42

42-44

44-46

46-48

48-50

48

43

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will the United States win a diplomatic, cultural, or scientific victory IRL by EOY 2100?

Dec 23, 7:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.79%chance

11164

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1029

973

What cultural generation will the next POTUS be part of?

May 30, 10:08 PMJan 20, 12:00 PM

547

OptionProbability

Generation X (1965-1980)

Millennial or younger (born in 1981 or later)

Boomer (1946-1964)

Silent Generation or older (born before 1946)

38

34

17

12

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