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Prediction markets for Culture

If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?

Jan 21, 10:37 PMNov 30, 10:59 PM

57.95%chance

7313753

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

955

Will a cell cultured meat product be easily purchasable at my local Walmart by the end of 2028?

Jan 7, 7:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.35%chance

464910

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2770

166

When will cell cultured meat product be easily purchasable in the US?

Sep 24, 3:47 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

302506

OptionProbability

2028+

2027

2026

2025

2024

66

20

10

4

1

How much will cultured meat cost at the end of 2030?

Jan 24, 6:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

242204

OptionProbability

<$50/lb

<$20/lb

<$10/lb

<$5/lb

38

27

17

9

When will cultured meat take up 10% of the total animal-based meat market of any country?

Nov 27, 1:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25.86%chance

241845

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1210

903

After the 2026 midterms, will I feel like US culture has trended towards greater wokeness in the 2 years prior?

Jan 3, 8:19 AMNov 5, 7:59 AM

37.13%chance

10860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1301

768

Will the federal government ban the sale or making of cultured meat throughout US by the end of 2028?

Apr 2, 6:43 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13.65%chance

10294

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

927

Will UFOs be recognized as a culture-bound illness/mass hysteria before 2050?

Oct 19, 3:21 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

37%chance

8243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

95

In 100 years, will Cancel Culture be broadly seen as a beneficial movement by our (human) descendants?

Dec 13, 6:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.7%chance

11235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

957

How many states will ban the sale or making of cultured meat by the end of 2028?

Apr 2, 6:34 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6220

OptionProbability

0-2

6-8

2-4

4-6

8-10

10-12

12-14

14-16

16-18

18-20

20-22

22-24

24-26

26-28

28-30

30-32

32-34

34-36

36-38

38-40

40-42

42-44

44-46

46-48

48-50

48

43

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will the United States win a diplomatic, cultural, or scientific victory IRL by EOY 2100?

Dec 23, 7:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.79%chance

11164

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1029

973

Will Jose Ricon donate his own fibroblast or endothelial or iPSC cell lines to be cultured?

Sep 19, 5:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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