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Prediction markets for Curl

Bitcoin below $60K in 2026?

Dec 29, 12:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

74.14%chance

12759883

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1695

591

Bitcoin price in 2026?

Jan 2, 7:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6341412

OptionProbability

$80K

$75K

$70K

$65K

$60K

$55K

$50K

$100K

$45K

$105K

$110K

$115K

$40K

$120K

$125K

$35K

$130K

$135K

$140K

$145K

$30K

$150K

100

100

100

100

70

59

48

41

37

36

31

27

27

23

20

18

17

14

12

10

9

8

Bitcoin below $55K in 2026?

Jan 7, 11:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.27%chance

10238076

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1313

763

Bitcoin below $48K in 2026?

Mar 24, 10:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.4%chance

92292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

930

Will there be a confirmed or reliable sighting of a wild Eskimo Curlew by the end of 2030?

Aug 3, 5:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.67%chance

4253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

48

Will "AI found 12 of 12 OpenSSL zero-days (while cu..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jan 28, 9:03 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.72%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

985

Who will win EVW 23 armwrestling match, Brian Shaw or Leonidas Arkona?

Mar 12, 10:13 AMApr 19, 10:08 AM

150

OptionProbability

Leonidas Arkona (Germany)

Brian Shaw (USA)

69

31

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