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Noem Says 1.6 Million Undocumented Migrants Left U.S. as ICE Deportations Rise
Authors
12
7 months ago
Prediction markets for Current Population Survey
Prediction markets for Current Population Survey
Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?
May 30, 8:04 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
9%
chance
6
7323
Option
Votes
YES
NO
5645
1076
Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?
Feb 15, 11:23 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
29%
chance
16
3670
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2603
1623
Will there be more software developers employed in the United States in June 2026 than June 2025?
Jul 2, 8:15 PM
May 31, 11:59 PM
56.79%
chance
18
2100
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1164
886
What will the US 90/10 hourly wage ratio be in 2027?
Feb 23, 2:14 AM
Jun 29, 3:59 AM
22.3%
chance
2
110
Option
Probability
YES
NO
193
42
What will the US 90/10 hourly wage ratio be in 2026?
Feb 23, 2:14 AM
Jun 29, 3:59 AM
21.2%
chance
2
102
Option
Probability
YES
NO
199
40
Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2027?
Jun 1, 6:58 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
62.99%
chance
5
68
Option
Votes
NO
YES
115
103
Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2029?
Jun 1, 6:59 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
61.21%
chance
4
55
Option
Votes
NO
YES
134
91
Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2028?
Jun 1, 6:59 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
50.99%
chance
1
1
Option
Votes
NO
YES
71
69
What Manifold question would be good to put on the (unofficial) LW Community Survey?
Nov 29, 11:09 PM
0
0
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