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Prediction markets for Customs Act

ICE agent murdered on duty by end of 2026?

Jan 24, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.63%chance

9212061

OptionVotes

YES

NO

348

29

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.13%chance

215978

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10497

2690

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1720

680

Will ICE be renamed as NICE in 2026?

Apr 27, 3:30 AMJan 1, 4:27 AM

1%chance

231943

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Will Temu go out of business in the EU before 2028?

Jul 5, 2:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.5%chance

131943

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1319

758

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? [Polymarket]

Sep 9, 12:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12937

OptionProbability

October 31

September 14

September 21

September 30

2

0

0

0

Will the mayor of San Diego or Los Angeles be charged with a federal crime for interfering with ICE before 2028?

Dec 18, 10:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.73%chance

3107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

103

97

How will I rate The Altruists, the upcoming Netflix series about FTX, out of 100? [READ DESC]

May 4, 10:46 PMMay 11, 10:28 PM

63.95%chance

436

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

75

If you had to guess, what’s US “border tsar” Tom Homan‘s IQ

Feb 17, 12:13 PM

250

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