Cybercab Robotaxi News

Will Tesla's Cybercab be released by 2030 with a sticker price of $30,000 or less?

Dec 1, 8:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.87%chance

3328342

OptionVotes

YES

2863

349

Tesla FSD, RoboTaxi, CyberCab etc MegaMarket

Apr 13, 8:46 PMApr 19, 5:59 AM

4318684

OptionProbability

Will someone drive across the country in FSD with no human input of any kind by mid 2026

Will I still have grok in my car, through mid 2026

Will I will be able to get my Tesla model Y 2023 to automatically back out of my driveway to the side of the road by mid 2026 (without me in it)

Will I be able to drop my car at the entrance to a garage and have it park by mid 2026 (possibly out of sight lines) (without me in it)

I'll see an Optimus or other Tesla robot in San Mateo CA in public not at the dealership by mid 2028

Max configurable speed for self driving will be above 85 by mid 2025

Tesla robotaxi rideable in SF by the public by mid 2025

I'll be able to call a Waymo to my house in San Mateo by mid 2025

I'll be able to call a fsd Tesla vehicle to my house in San Mateo by mid 2025

US Customer takes delivery of Cybercab with no steering wheel by end of 2026

Will I be able to use a non xAi model in the car, via same mechanism as grok, by mid 2026

Will there be any conditions where I'm able to sleep in my 2023 Model Y (FSD currently 14.2.1) while it drives, on a public road by mid 2026?

100

Elon projects dates megamarket

Aug 19, 1:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

267633

OptionProbability

01 Cybercab operating as robotaxi before 20261001 i.e.01 Oct 2026

01 Cybercab operating as robotaxi before 20261101 i.e.01 Nov 2026

01 Cybercab operating as robotaxi before 20261201 i.e.01 Dec 2026

01 Cybercab operating as robotaxi before 20270101 i.e.01 Jan 2027

03 Grok 5 released before 20270301 i.e.01 Mar 2027

03 Grok 5 released before 20270401 i.e.01 April 2027

03 Grok 5 released before 20270201 i.e.01 Feb 2027

02 Optimus working (not training) at Tesla before 20271001 i.e.01 Oct 2027

02 Optimus working (not training) at Tesla before 20270701 i.e.01 July 2027

05 Robotaxis operating in 10 states before 20280101 i.e.01 Jan 2028

03 Grok 5 released before 20270101 i.e.01 Jan 2027

05 Robotaxis operating in 10 states before 20270701 i.e.01 July 2027

05 Robotaxis operating in 10 states before 20271001 i.e.01 Oct 2027

04 Robotaxis operating in 5 states before 20270701 i.e.01 July 2027

02 Optimus working (not training) at Tesla before 20270401 i.e.01 April 2027

04 Robotaxis operating in 5 states before 20270401 i.e.01 April 2027

05 Robotaxis operating in 10 states before 20270401 i.e.01 April 2027

03 Grok 5 released before 20261201 i.e.01 Dec 2027

02 Optimus working (not training) at Tesla before 20270101 i.e.01 Jan 2027

04 Robotaxis operating in 5 states before 20270101 i.e.01 Jan 2027

05 Robotaxis operating in 10 states before 20270101 i.e.01 Jan 2027

01 Cybercab operating as robotaxi before 20260901 i.e. 01 Sept 2026

100

Tesla (props)

Mar 7, 11:01 AMMar 7, 11:01 AM

246258

OptionProbability

Cortex 2 AI cluster operational by August 1, 2026

Optimus robots deployed in Tesla factories (>10 units) by Dec 31, 2026

Marques Brownlee shaves his head on camera by December 31, 2026

Tesla merges with SpaceX by December 31, 2026

Unsupervised FSD releases to non-employees in US by June 30, 2026

Cybercab production exceeds 500/month by Sep 30, 2026

TSLA stock closes above $500 before April 1, 2026

Terafab fabricates at least one chip in 2026

100

Will Tesla's Cybercab be carrying public riders in at least 3 US metro areas by December 31, 2026?

Aug 25, 1:47 AMJan 12, 11:59 PM

78%chance

15952

OptionVotes

YES

181

Will Tesla release a Cybercab with a Steering Wheel?

Nov 4, 5:45 PMDec 31, 5:33 PM

49.24%chance

10902

OptionVotes

YES

1015

985

Will Tesla give paid public Cybercab rides in a US metro outside Texas by April 30, 2027?

Sep 8, 1:49 AMMay 5, 11:59 PM

92.31%chance

5290

OptionVotes

YES

272

Will Tesla's steering-wheel-less Cybercab give rides to the public in Dallas by November 30, 2026?

Oct 13, 1:46 AMDec 5, 11:59 PM

78.81%chance

5127

OptionVotes

YES

199

Cybercab Robotaxi News

Prediction markets for Cybercab Robotaxi

Prediction markets for Cybercab Robotaxi

Prediction markets for Cybercab Robotaxi

Will Tesla's Cybercab be released by 2030 with a sticker price of $30,000 or less?

Tesla FSD, RoboTaxi, CyberCab etc MegaMarket

Elon projects dates megamarket

Tesla (props)

Will Tesla's Cybercab be carrying public riders in at least 3 US metro areas by December 31, 2026?

Will Tesla release a Cybercab with a Steering Wheel?

Will Tesla give paid public Cybercab rides in a US metro outside Texas by April 30, 2027?

Will Tesla's steering-wheel-less Cybercab give rides to the public in Dallas by November 30, 2026?

Latest stories