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Prediction markets for Cycle Points

Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?

Feb 19, 8:51 AMJan 1, 8:45 AM

0.81%chance

168100973

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25588

241

US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER)

Nov 14, 8:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1.25%chance

4520348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11396

275

Will Susan Collins Outperform Maine's Republican Baseline in 2026?

Mar 17, 7:16 AMDec 1, 7:59 AM

94.59%chance

127898

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4229

242

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.93%chance

171609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1023

980

US recession in 2026?

Oct 9, 8:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.82%chance

261493

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Is most of Wout Van Aert's road cycling success still ahead of him as of October 2023?

Oct 24, 6:30 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

10.37%chance

9424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

400

63

Next "comfortable" US Presidential Election win?

Aug 21, 12:17 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11379

OptionProbability

2028

2040 or later

2032

2036

2024

36

26

23

14

1

Density of hyperbolicity for the Mandelbrot set

Oct 15, 3:21 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

93.3%chance

5167

OptionVotes

NO

YES

295

91

WIll the United States Economy avoid a recession by 2029?

Jan 12, 2:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.99%chance

7162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Will Zuid-Limburg have a Demi Vollering Allee before EOY 2026?

Aug 13, 4:27 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

28%chance

491

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

62

WIll the United States Economy enter a recession by 2030?

Jan 12, 2:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.26%chance

572

OptionVotes

NO

YES

154

65

When will I acquire Florence Vassey as a blorbo?

Dec 21, 4:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

337

OptionProbability

Not anytime soon

Before April 2023

In 2024

In 2025-2026

In 2027-2030

April 2023 - January 2024

40

12

12

12

12

11

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