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Prediction markets for Cycle Points

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

Mar 4, 3:00 AMJan 1, 3:50 AM

22.75%chance

105117800

OptionVotes

YES

NO

184271

54268

Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?

Feb 19, 8:51 AMJan 1, 8:45 AM

0.62%chance

168101001

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29542

212

US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER)

Nov 14, 8:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1.25%chance

4520348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11396

275

Will Susan Collins Outperform Maine's Republican Baseline in 2026?

Mar 17, 7:16 AMDec 1, 7:59 AM

94.59%chance

127898

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4229

242

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63%chance

202212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1307

768

Will Lauren Boebert be re-elected to the House in 2026?

Feb 27, 11:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.58%chance

61426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1244

519

Will Bitcoin (BTC) surpass $250,000 before January 1, 2027?

Mar 22, 5:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3%chance

3956

OptionVotes

YES

NO

641

37

Will bitcoin achieve a new ath in 2026

Mar 4, 1:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

11624

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Is most of Wout Van Aert's road cycling success still ahead of him as of October 2023?

Oct 24, 6:30 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

10.37%chance

9424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

400

63

Next "comfortable" US Presidential Election win?

Aug 21, 12:17 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11379

OptionProbability

2028

2040 or later

2032

2036

2024

36

26

23

14

1

Is most of Mathieu van der Poel's road cycling success still ahead of him as of October 2023?

Oct 24, 6:26 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

71.78%chance

10372

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

80

Will a practically useful cryptographic program obfuscation scheme be invented before 2035?

Feb 23, 7:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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