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Prediction markets for DALL

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.67%chance

480696936

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16706

12559

Will the Dallas Mavericks "win" the Luka trade?

Feb 3, 5:39 AMSep 1, 8:59 PM

33.25%chance

2023690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8819

3870

Will an AI by OpenAI beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

Mar 28, 12:16 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

57.16%chance

565810

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1069

789

Will Mark Cuban run for president before the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Championship again?

Jun 2, 5:18 PMJan 4, 4:59 AM

20.47%chance

294208

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1971

507

Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?

Oct 19, 1:07 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

35.49%chance

483349

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1417

1169

Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?

Jun 12, 10:01 PMJan 1, 3:46 AM

78.53%chance

483131

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1950

295

🏈 Dallas Cowboys (NFL) Prop Bets 🎲

Apr 15, 3:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

152255

OptionProbability

Scores over 23.5 points in Week 1

Wins a preseason game

Trey Lance attempts at least 5 passes

Dak Prescott new contract before cowboys season is over

Micah Parsons is traded

The team moves or is renamed before 2050

Drafts at least one QB in the NFL Draft

Dak Prescott top 5 in MVP voting

Any player (non-QB) has a 3 TD game

Brandon Aubrey makes a 66+ yard field goal

100

100

100

100

100

34

0

0

0

0

Will a US entity force OpenAI to delete any mainline DALL-E models by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.5%chance

221828

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1606

857

Will Dallas Turner record at least 24.0 regular season sacks through the 2026 season?

Apr 29, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

1.4%chance

41140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1278

22

Will an AI agent be able to draw a mid-2024-diffusion-model-quality image in a standard drawing program by 2027?

Sep 2, 6:22 PMJan 1, 6:59 PM

57%chance

11831

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

872

Will humans create a SOTA AI model without Multi-Layer Perceptrons by 2029?

May 4, 6:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.43%chance

11712

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1414

776

Will Kyrie Irving be a Dallas Mavericks player on July 1st 2026?

May 4, 9:31 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM

70.7%chance

466

OptionVotes

NO

YES

155

64

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