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Prediction markets for Data Center

5. Multiple serious efforts to put AI data centers in space will take shape.

Dec 27, 8:16 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

70.31%chance

11853527

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1539

650

Will the pope bless a data center before 2026?

Dec 15, 3:47 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.84%chance

13749054

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4626

593

Will data center technicians still be necessary in 2027?

Sep 15, 11:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

91.63%chance

324756

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3309

302

Will there be an AI data center powered by new nuclear power by 2030?

Sep 20, 2:36 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.12%chance

333974

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1692

591

Will Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?

Jun 21, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

16.22%chance

193531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2273

440

Will Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?

Sep 26, 6:44 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

36.36%chance

382620

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1318

1115

Will there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031?

Nov 6, 5:24 AMJan 15, 11:59 PM

181758

OptionProbability

No

Yes, but only inclusive of SpaceX / Starlink

Yes, exclusive of SpaceX / Starlink

61

28

11

Will Microsoft have at least one data center (partially) powered by a self-operated fission reactor before 2030?

Dec 15, 9:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

27.74%chance

221693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1726

368

Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030?

Jun 26, 6:46 AMJan 3, 7:59 AM

44.43%chance

18840

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1118

894

Will Russia announce completion of an AI data center with >10,000 AI accelerators (GPUs/TPUs) before 2027?

Oct 29, 1:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

35.15%chance

3500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1358

736

Will Lumen Orbit have at least one functioning megawatt-scale data center in space by the end of 2028?

Sep 6, 3:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.46%chance

7402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

380

26

Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?

Mar 5, 11:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.46%chance

17245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

996

995

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