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Prediction markets for Data Explorer

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.6%chance

275531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3264

307

Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?

Feb 21, 1:25 AMNov 7, 4:59 AM

65.95%chance

394742

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1551

345

OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Nov 7, 7:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.09%chance

213300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3370

297

Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% before it reaches 0%?

Feb 19, 2:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.66%chance

582748

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1588

742

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.46%chance

191770

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2102

476

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.73%chance

231683

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

966

Biotech creates a technology rivaling AI

Apr 25, 5:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.86%chance

81027

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1739

575

Will 60% of Americans approve abortion "for any reason" before 2030?

Nov 12, 7:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.68%chance

181002

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1489

351

Will a quarter of Americans be generally unhappy before 2030?

Nov 12, 6:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.24%chance

11336

OptionVotes

NO

YES

190

187

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

Aug 8, 5:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.57%chance

3280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4054

3761

Will the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%?

Apr 7, 6:36 AMDec 31, 7:28 AM

77%chance

11126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

183

55

Will more than 5% of 2024 Title IV institutions close by EOY 2029?

Oct 5, 5:59 AMSep 2, 3:59 AM

80%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

205

55

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