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Prediction markets for Data Miner

Will global iron + steel slag output exceed 600 million tonnes in 2030?

Nov 26, 5:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.01%chance

1317381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13630

7337

Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 5 kilotonnes on August 29, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:09 PMAug 29, 6:08 PM

69.23%chance

23500

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1500

667

Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on August 29, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:09 PMAug 29, 6:08 PM

62.83%chance

22800

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1300

769

Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 15 kt on September 29, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:10 PMSep 29, 6:08 PM

60.98%chance

22750

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1250

800

Will Bitcoin experience "mining gaps" before the first 365-day period where transaction fees are >1/2 of total block rewards?

Dec 18, 9:07 AMMar 3, 4:59 AM

13.48%chance

172458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1266

918

Will Indonesia's cobalt mine production exceed 55,000 tonnes in 2026?

Mar 21, 2:23 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

53.47%chance

61769

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10719

9329

Will U.S. production of battery-grade lithium exceed 10% of global supply by the end of 2030?

Dec 10, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.27%chance

16935

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

88

Global iron + steel slag output exceeds 595M tonnes by end-2026?

Nov 26, 5:13 AMApr 28, 10:59 PM

65.06%chance

5367

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1364

733

Will global vanadium production (mine + co-product, contained V) in 2027 be at least 140,000 tonnes of V?

Nov 26, 5:36 AMMar 29, 10:59 PM

45.27%chance

6255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

South Africa's vanadium production exceeds 10,000 tonnes in 2027?

Nov 26, 5:41 AMFeb 29, 11:59 PM

55.22%chance

4151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

901

Will the TTM tantalum price for concentrate imports exceed $170 per pound on April 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:08 PMApr 1, 6:07 PM

31.76%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

64

Will Sangdong mine output exceed 20% of non-Chinese tungsten supply on April 1, 2027?

Mar 2, 6:11 PMApr 1, 6:10 PM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

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