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Prediction markets for Data Miner

Will global iron + steel slag output exceed 600 million tonnes in 2030?

Nov 26, 5:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.07%chance

1517421

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13650

7326

Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 15 kt on September 29, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:10 PMSep 29, 6:08 PM

20%chance

67528

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2000

500

Will Indonesia's cobalt mine production exceed 55,000 tonnes in 2026?

Mar 21, 2:23 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

66.6%chance

75182

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14121

7082

Will Bitcoin experience "mining gaps" before the first 365-day period where transaction fees are >1/2 of total block rewards?

Dec 18, 9:07 AMMar 3, 4:59 AM

13.48%chance

172458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1266

918

Global iron + steel slag output exceeds 595M tonnes by end-2026?

Nov 26, 5:13 AMApr 28, 10:59 PM

65.06%chance

5367

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1364

733

Will global vanadium production (mine + co-product, contained V) in 2027 be at least 140,000 tonnes of V?

Nov 26, 5:36 AMMar 29, 10:59 PM

45.04%chance

7350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1105

905

South Africa's vanadium production exceeds 10,000 tonnes in 2027?

Nov 26, 5:41 AMFeb 29, 11:59 PM

55.22%chance

4151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

901

Will global primary rhenium production exceed 95 thousand kg in the year ending December 2027?

Apr 7, 11:33 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

47.71%chance

461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

96

Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 25 thousand kg in the year ending December 2027?

Apr 7, 11:36 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Indonesia primary aluminum production exceed 1 Mt as of October 2027?

May 4, 5:16 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

68.86%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

92

Will US rhenium net import reliance exceed 82% in the year ending December 2029?

Apr 7, 11:40 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

47.45%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

Will China rhenium imports exceed 30 thousand kg in the year ending December 2027?

Apr 7, 11:31 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

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