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Prediction markets for Data Services Platform

In 2026, will the largest AI-based commercial forecasting system (by revenue) have a platform-wide Brier score <0.1?

May 25, 4:22 AMJul 2, 6:59 AM

21.79%chance

102103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1895

528

What will the dominant microblogging platform be at the end of 2028 (X, Threads, Bluesky, etc) ? [ READ DESCRIPTION ]

Aug 10, 3:49 AMJun 2, 3:59 AM

221546

OptionProbability

Other

X / Twitter

Threads

Bluesky

Nostr

Truth Social

Mastodon

36

33

18

6

2

2

2

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24%chance

161269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1780

562

When will the Finnish citizens’ initiative on Digital Independence reach 50,000 signatures?

Feb 22, 6:24 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

71027

OptionProbability

Before Sep 2026

Before Aug 2026

Before Jul 2026

Before Jun 2026

Before May 2026

Before Apr 2026

Before Mar 2026

99

98

95

66

7

1

0

Battery fire causes major app outage in 2026?

Nov 26, 2:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.84%chance

11650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

261

38

Will credible evidence emerge before 2027 that Meta can access the content of WhatsApp messages despite end-to-end encry

Jan 27, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11%chance

8250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

284

35

Will CRWV270115C00140000 expire in-the-money?

Jan 20, 3:03 PMJan 15, 4:00 PM

40.47%chance

274

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

82

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