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Prediction markets for Data Services Platform

In 2026, will the largest AI-based commercial forecasting system (by revenue) have a platform-wide Brier score <0.1?

May 25, 4:22 AMJul 2, 6:59 AM

21.79%chance

102103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1895

528

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.46%chance

191770

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2102

476

What will the dominant microblogging platform be at the end of 2028 (X, Threads, Bluesky, etc) ? [ READ DESCRIPTION ]

Aug 10, 3:49 AMJun 2, 3:59 AM

231646

OptionProbability

X / Twitter

Other

Threads

Bluesky

Truth Social

Mastodon

Nostr

36

30

21

6

3

3

2

Will GMail get blocked in Russia by the end of 2026

Jun 1, 8:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.69%chance

71235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2166

824

Battery fire causes major app outage in 2026?

Nov 26, 2:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.4%chance

13702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

311

32

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

797

Will credible evidence emerge before 2027 that Meta can access the content of WhatsApp messages despite end-to-end encry

Jan 27, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.56%chance

13299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

252

40

Will CRWV270115C00140000 expire in-the-money?

Jan 20, 3:03 PMJan 15, 4:00 PM

11.36%chance

4239

OptionVotes

YES

NO

279

36

Will Griffin-1 successfully land on the moon?

Jun 16, 2:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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