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Prediction markets for Data Streams
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10%chance
8141187
OptionVotes
29364
2889
Will a movie released in 2026 gross over 1 billion dollars?
Mar 9, 10:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
98.08%chance
121326
OptionVotes
714
14
How many minutes of Harry Potter 2026 series will be streamed in the US in the first year?
Feb 24, 9:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
171082
OptionProbability
89
87
79
70
47
29
Is it possible to "hack" an average human into performing arbitrary behaviors?
Dec 25, 12:18 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
35.54%chance
17971
OptionVotes
1118
699
In two years time AI pornography will generate twice as much money as regular pornography.
Mar 13, 4:09 AMMar 13, 4:08 AM
12.09%chance
19529
OptionVotes
270
37
OptionProbability
70
20
10
OptionProbability
34
34
23
9
Will Kendrick Lamar have a Billboard number 1 single in 2026?
Jan 5, 4:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
41.1%chance
477
OptionVotes
231
174
OptionVotes
172
100
When will Delta Airlines provide inflight wifi with less than 50ms of latency?
Mar 2, 4:08 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
140
OptionProbability
20
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
Will Betfred become the number 1 gambling app in the UK by EOY 2027
Mar 17, 4:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100