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Prediction markets for Davos
What traits will Google's next CEO have (many traits for you to bet on!)
Feb 23, 7:21 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
939706
OptionProbability
97
90
90
87
84
84
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83
71
70
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68
65
62
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58
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46
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13
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3
3
2
2
2
Will Canada sign a binding procurement contract for the Saab Gripen fighter before the end of 2026?
Jan 22, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.81%chance
183829
OptionVotes
1088
919
Will Donald Trump carry out an invasion of Greenland before 2029?
Feb 27, 6:35 PMJan 4, 11:59 PM
16.74%chance
162498
OptionVotes
223
45
OptionProbability
81
72
71
69
63
53
53
53
53
50
47
45
45
45
41
41
37
34
34
34
34
34
31
31
20
OptionVotes
1363
734
OptionProbability
70
20
10
Conditional on a significant Amodei essay before March, will Yudkowsky write a long response before May?
Jan 21, 7:46 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM
17%chance
8186
OptionVotes
221
45
Will the Trump administration sign a bilateral agreement to acquire land in Greenland by the end of 2026?
Feb 2, 11:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17.63%chance
7152
OptionVotes
216
46


