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Prediction markets for Days of Our Lives

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?

Mar 5, 4:55 PMJan 21, 3:59 AM

62%chance

14468018

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1393

626

Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?

Feb 21, 9:33 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM

75.32%chance

659345

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1748

573

Will the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?

Jun 6, 12:13 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

29.62%chance

806693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2872

716

Will Donald Trump live to see Hunter Biden spend a day in jail?

Jun 13, 1:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.44%chance

315231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4180

1309

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.96%chance

123209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6132

3376

Will Jimmy Kimmel Live post a video by March 31st with ‘Trump’ in the title and it gets less than 1M views after 7 days?

Jan 27, 7:52 AMApr 7, 11:59 PM

5.95%chance

12000

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3250

1010

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1629

626

Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?

Sep 4, 6:15 PMOct 22, 9:59 PM

63.48%chance

261625

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1502

333

Will Ryan Routh live until the day he is sentenced?

Sep 16, 4:17 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM

96.14%chance

10907

OptionVotes

NO

YES

499

20

I live in Montreal for 60+ days in 2026?

Oct 3, 3:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.64%chance

6100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

148

68

If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, what percentage of Americans will live on less than $40 per day in 2028?

Jan 7, 4:13 PMJan 7, 11:59 PM

26.91%chance

583

OptionVotes

YES

NO

269

208

Will the 85th anniversary of D-Day have any living D-Day WW2 veterans show up?

Jun 18, 12:05 AMMay 25, 3:59 AM

67.09%chance

283

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143

70

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