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Top stories

Porter Jr. Warns NBA Integrity at Risk as Sports Betting Booms

Authors

5

14 hours ago

Prediction markets for Dec

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by Dec 1, 2025?

Aug 11, 9:50 AMDec 15, 11:59 PM

47.52%chance

3356338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105086

95160

What will 23andMe’s status be on Dec 31, 2025?

Mar 29, 5:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4440125

OptionProbability

Bankrupt or liquidated (Chapter 11/7, no longer operating independently)

Taken private (bought out by founders/insiders or private equity)

Acquired by another company

Still an independent public company

71

14

11

4

Will SpaceX land on the MOON by Dec 31st 2029?

Jan 11, 3:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

61.75%chance

214914

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

685

On Dec 31, 2025, will a widely available AI model be able to write a sophisticated 2000 line program?

Dec 28, 2:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.5%chance

233794

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1584

631

Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?

Oct 19, 1:07 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

36.86%chance

473297

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1443

1123

will this tweet hold up: Humans will fly to Mars in 50 months [27 Dec, 2028]

Oct 27, 5:20 PMDec 28, 7:59 AM

9.78%chance

152825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3037

329

Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035?

May 30, 3:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.28%chance

142450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1633

613

Will Hunter Biden be arrested between Dec 2024-Dec 2028 for any crimes committed following his pardon?

Dec 7, 2:07 PMDec 1, 3:59 PM

19.31%chance

111371

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2044

489

Will piracy make a comeback by Dec 2025?

Feb 12, 4:19 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

40.09%chance

25943

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1082

831

Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?

Nov 4, 2:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

9462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

1087

Will the board game The Queen's Dilemma be delivered by Dec 31, 2025?

Dec 11, 7:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

52.63%chance

6334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1054

949

Will Rabbit, Inc be sold or acquired before Dec 31st 2025

Jun 14, 3:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.31%chance

1250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1242

805

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