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Top stories

El-Sisi Marks June 30 and July 23 Anniversaries, Urges Palestinian State on 1967 Borders, Cites Egyptian-Israeli Peace

El-Sisi Marks June 30 and July 23 Anniversaries, Urges Palestinian State on 1967 Borders, Cites Egyptian-Israeli Peace

Authors

5

1 month ago

Prediction markets for Decent Life

Will there be a decent-budget biopic about Richard Feynman to 2026 end

Sep 29, 9:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.2%chance

332080

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1706

654

What year will a real Chinese 6th generation fighter appear in a feature film?

Apr 19, 12:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62042

OptionProbability

2029 or beyond

2028

2027

2026

2025

Already happened

43

21

18

15

8

4

What effect do violent video games and movies have on the chance that people commit violence in real life?

Dec 1, 6:03 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

14519

OptionProbability

No relevant effect

Decreases their chance of violence

Increases their chance of violence

58

32

11

Will there be a decent-budget biopic about Richard Stallman within ten years of his death?

Sep 29, 12:47 PMOct 7, 3:59 AM

24.88%chance

8153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

138

By 2045, will I feel that working is necessary to maintain a decent quality of life in the United States?

Jun 6, 3:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.56%chance

7149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

88

Will another celebrity create a life-sized (or larger) statue of their spouse?

Aug 22, 4:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.65%chance

436

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

93

Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!

Mar 9, 8:51 PM

00

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