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Google DeepMind Unveils Gemini ‘Deep Think’ AI for $250 Ultra Users

1 day ago

Meta Targets World’s Largest AI Cluster With 500,000 GPUs by 2026

AI Modeling

AI Products

Meta Targets World’s Largest AI Cluster With 500,000 GPUs by 2026

22 hours ago

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

40.67%chance

554181322

OptionVotes

YES

2676

2061

Which next-gen frontier LLMs will be released before GPT-5? (2025)

Jun 1, 10:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6822729

OptionProbability

Llama 4

Claude 4(any version)

Gemini 2

Grok 2

Claude 4 Opus

Phi 4

Gemini 2.5 Pro Deep Think

Gemini 3

DeepSeek-R2

DeepSeek Coder V3

Claude 5

Gemini 1.5 Ultra

100

Gary Marcus prediction: physical reasoning of AI systems will improve before psychological reasoning

Jan 23, 8:50 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

28.51%chance

363775

OptionVotes

YES

987

974

1. Meta will begin charging for use of its Llama models.

Dec 27, 8:10 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

26.86%chance

342895

OptionVotes

YES

1650

606

Will Manifold hire me in 2025?

Feb 21, 9:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.93%chance

172868

OptionVotes

YES

2215

451

Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?

May 3, 5:03 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM

50.5%chance

442809

OptionVotes

YES

1066

868

Should society have pivoted from artificial intelligence to krantz collective intelligence?

Jan 21, 8:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.94%chance

41861

OptionVotes

YES

1729

578

are LLMs easy to align because unsupervised learning imbues them with an ontology where human values are easy to express

Aug 29, 2:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

31.74%chance

13659

OptionVotes

YES

1117

901

Will there be an Ozymandias-Beihai act motivated by AI risks by 2035?

Jun 15, 12:04 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

44.93%chance

7176

OptionVotes

YES

1107

903

Will a major US newspaper with at least 150 years of history partner with a top LLM (top ten by usage) by mid '29

Mar 7, 10:25 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

56%chance

3128

OptionVotes

YES

1128

886

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

122

To what extent do professional literary translators (of books such as novels, memoirs, etc...) use machine translation?

Mar 14, 7:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

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Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Which next-gen frontier LLMs will be released before GPT-5? (2025)

Gary Marcus prediction: physical reasoning of AI systems will improve before psychological reasoning

1. Meta will begin charging for use of its Llama models.

Will Manifold hire me in 2025?

Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?

Should society have pivoted from artificial intelligence to krantz collective intelligence?

are LLMs easy to align because unsupervised learning imbues them with an ontology where human values are easy to express

Will there be an Ozymandias-Beihai act motivated by AI risks by 2035?

Will a major US newspaper with at least 150 years of history partner with a top LLM (top ten by usage) by mid '29

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

To what extent do professional literary translators (of books such as novels, memoirs, etc...) use machine translation?

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