OptionVotes
YES
NO
1912
268
OptionProbability
OpenAI's GPT-4.5 / GPT-5
gemini-3-pro+Claude-opus-4-5+gpt-5.2+grok-4.1+veo-3.1+qwen3-max
Other
Anthropic's Claude 3 / 4
Google DeepMind's Gemini 1.5 / 2
Meta's LLaMA 3.x
Mistral models (Mixtral, Mistral 8x22B, etc.)
xAI's Grok (via X / Twitter)
Cohere's Command R+ or similar
Alibaba’s Qwen series
DeepSeek models (DeepSeek-VL, DeepSeek Coder, etc.)
Other (please comment)
80
10
8
0
Alphabet / Google Deepmind / Gemini
OpenAI / ChatGPT
xAI / Grok
Anthropic / Claude
Mistral
DeepSeek
Microsoft
Meta / Llama
Safe Superintelligence (SSI)
Apple
86
55
26
24
15
9
Before Oct 2027
Before Jan 2028
Before Jul 2027
Before Apr 2027
Before Jan 2027
Before Oct 2026
Before Jul 2026
Before Apr 2026
99
90
83
70
50
27
3
338
30
By Jan 1st 2030
By Jan 1st 2029
By Jan 1st 2028
By Jan 1st 2027
By Jan 1st 2026
36
33
17
5
2029
2027
49
39