OptionProbability
July 2026 or later (never)
March-June 2026
December 2025-February 2026
June-August 2025
September-November 2025
March-May 2025
61
35
2
1
0
January-February 2026
March-April 2026
May-June 2026
March-April 2025
May-June 2025
July-August 2025
November-December 2025
September-October 2025
47
33
11
5
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1388
721
1368
731
Google
Anthropic
OpenAI
xAI
Other
DeepSeek
Meta
Mistral AI
Alibaba
Moonshot AI
MiniMax
Z.ai
32
30
15
GPT-4.5
Grok 3
91
9
2025-2026
2027-2028
2029-2030
2031-2032
2033-2034
2035-2036
2037-2038
2039-2040
25
122
82