OptionProbability
4h - 5h
5h - 6h
6h - 7h
8h - 9h
9h - 10h
7h - 8h
3.5h - 4h
3h - 3.5h
2h - 2.5h
2.5h - 3h
10h - 11h
<1.5h
1.5h - 2h
11h - 12h
>=12h
20
15
11
9
8
6
5
4
3
2
OptionVotes
YES
NO
9794
102
175
57
GPT-4.5
Grok 3
91
122
30
It will be better than Phi-4
It will be released before 2027
It will be better than LLama-3.3-70B-Instruct
It will be released before 2026
It will be better than Deepseek-V3
50
45
31
25
