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Top stories

Tesla Adds DeepSeek and ByteDance’s Doubao Voice AIs to China Cars

Tesla Adds DeepSeek and ByteDance’s Doubao Voice AIs to China Cars

Authors

11

4 months ago

DeepSeek Launches 685B-Parameter Hybrid V3.1 AI Model With 128K Token Context and Boosts Cambricon Stock

DeepSeek Launches 685B-Parameter Hybrid V3.1 AI Model With 128K Token Context and Boosts Cambricon Stock

Authors

59

4 months ago

Tesla Integrates DeepSeek and ByteDance’s Doubao AI Voice Assistants in China’s Model Y L With Navigation and Entertainment Controls

Tesla Integrates DeepSeek and ByteDance’s Doubao AI Voice Assistants in China’s Model Y L With Navigation and Entertainment Controls

Authors

16

4 months ago

US Foreign Policy

OpenAI’s Altman Says U.S. Underrates China as Chip Curbs Fall Short

Authors

14

4 months ago

Prediction markets for DeepSeek

Will DeepSeek go on Dwarkesh Podcast in 2025?

Jan 22, 6:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4%chance

51105679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

50734

4866

Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?

Jan 25, 5:04 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

4.78%chance

7553121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

46557

2925

DeepSeek open-source frontier model after 3/23/26?

Mar 25, 1:21 PMMar 23, 11:59 PM

57.01%chance

298365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1152

868

Will ANY DeepSeek model cause or materially enable a catastrophic risk by 2027?

Jan 21, 11:42 PMJan 29, 4:59 AM

7.46%chance

507971

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5317

494

will DeepSeek become a closed AI lab by EOY?

Jan 27, 3:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

13.45%chance

314118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2537

394

Will there be an open replication of DeepSeek v3 for <$10m?

Jan 27, 7:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.44%chance

233562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1189

841

will deepseek-v4 destroy all other models?

Aug 21, 10:15 AMDec 20, 11:13 AM

15.28%chance

252359

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2354

425

Did DeepSeek violate OpenAI's terms of service by using OpenAI model outputs for distillation in 2024 or January 2025?

Jan 30, 5:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.29%chance

92341

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3125

320

DeepSeek V3.2 wins Alpha Arena Season 1.5

Nov 11, 1:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.21%chance

111124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1327

753

Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026?

Aug 22, 9:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.03%chance

5603

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1603

624

Will DeepSeek V3.2 get >145 on the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI)?

Dec 2, 1:10 AMJan 1, 1:09 AM

38%chance

4597

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1277

783

Will we believe in 2050 that an instance of DeepSeek V3 run by 2025 possessed "consciousness"?

Nov 2, 11:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.54%chance

10274

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

57

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