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Top stories

Palo Alto Networks Buys CyberArk for $25 Billion in Identity Security Push

Palo Alto Networks Buys CyberArk for $25 Billion in Identity Security Push

Authors

5

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Defender

If America bombs Iran, will any nation defend them?

Jun 16, 11:08 PMDec 30, 11:06 PM

3.96%chance

125934

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4923

203

Trump sends Tesla vandalism defendant to El Salvador before 2026?

Mar 22, 8:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.89%chance

281034

OptionVotes

YES

NO

368

27

Will an AI successfully defend or prosecute someone in court before 2030

Apr 3, 1:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.7%chance

15759

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1343

564

How many defendants will plead guilty in the 2020 Georgia election interference case?

Oct 25, 2:06 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

10546

OptionProbability

<= 5

13 - 17

9 - 12

18

6 - 8

19

65

14

9

7

4

1

Will any of the Georgia election interference case defendants be remanded to custody for violating their bond?

Dec 3, 11:01 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

29.42%chance

14435

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

954

Will any currently well-known conservative figure publicly defend Hitler in 2025?

Mar 7, 2:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.57%chance

16429

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be Chinese strikes on American soil?

Dec 18, 2:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

11386

OptionProbability

Yes - Contiguous United States

Yes - Pacific Territories

Yes - Hawaii and Alaska

No

84

74

55

20

Which of the Georgia election interference case defendents will accept plea deals or otherwise plead guilty?

Nov 23, 2:11 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

7363

OptionProbability

Trevian Kutti

Misty Hampton

David Shafer

Harrison Floyd

Steve Lee

Cathy Latham

Michael Roman

Jeffrey Clark

Ray Smith III

Bob Cheeley

Shawn Still

Mark Meadows

John Eastman

Rudy Giuliani

Donald Trump

55

54

41

41

41

41

41

41

41

41

41

41

32

17

4

Will Peter Daszak be a defendant in a US, UK or EU trial related to his professional global health work before 2040

Jun 12, 9:33 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

41.79%chance

9295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

158

125

If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be American strikes on Chinese soil?

Dec 17, 1:09 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

82.9%chance

6195

OptionVotes

NO

YES

217

64

Will Tom Aspinall successfully defend the UFC heavyweight title before 31 December 2026?

Nov 1, 12:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.31%chance

190

OptionVotes

NO

YES

190

53

If maga tries to cancel me, will my employer defend me?

Sep 15, 1:44 AMFeb 1, 2:40 AM

54.22%chance

540

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

92

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