Defense Production Act News

The Pentagon cuts ties with Anthropic

The Pentagon declares Anthropic a "supply chain risk"

Anthropic files a lawsuit against the federal government

The Department of War signs a deal to use OpenAI models instead

The supply chain risk designation is officially issued

OpenAI signs a contract substantially weaker than Anthropic's requirements

An injunction is granted against the supply chain risk designation

A judge grants an injunction against the Department of War

Anthropic's "supply chain risk" designation removed before 2027

An injunction is granted against the supply chain risk designation And survives unblocked by other courts for 6 months

Anthropic's "supply chain risk" designation removed before July

Resignation letter signed by at least 5 OpenAI employees

The government offers the same terms to Anthropic as to OpenAI

US company with >100B total valuation cancels some Pentagon contract and uses Anthropic supply chain risk designation as stated justification

Anthropic's contract is publicly available

OpenAI's new contract is publicly available

The Pentagon invokes the Defense Production Act

Anthropic gives the government unfettered access of their own accord (they "cave in")

Autonomous weapon + surveillance Claude safeguards are removed for the Pentagon

Dario Amodei leaves or is removed from Anthropic

Resignation letter signed by at least 5 Anthropic researchers

The Pentagon designates Anthropic a supply chain risk, AND invokes the Defense Production Act

Will Amazon have to divest / break with Anthropic in 2026?

Anthropic stops advancing AI capabilities

The Pentagon continues to use Anthropic services without the requested changes (autonomous weapon + mass surveillance of americans)

YES

Anthropic's Pentagon contract is canceled

Donald Trump publicly comments on the conflict (by March 15)

Anthropic is designated as a supply chain risk

A non-Anthropic LLM is deployed and accessible to end users on classified Pentagon networks

Defense Production Act used to compel Anthropic

Anthropic agrees to "all lawful use" of their models (or it is otherwise made clear that no use restrictions on the models will be in effect)

More than 10 Anthropic employees publicly state that they're leaving due to (or partially due to) the result of this conflict

- 1 to 0 %

Above 0%

- 3 to - 2%

- 2 to - 1%

- 5 to - 3%

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

NO

YES

NO

NO