Definitive News

YES

2035

2032

2030

2029

2028

NO

Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"

Other frontier AI firm, "soft nationalization"

xAI, "soft nationalization"

Anthropic, "soft nationalization"

OpenAI, "soft nationalization"

Any frontier AI company, "hard nationalization"

Other frontier AI firm, "hard nationalization"

Google DeepMind, "soft nationalization"

xAI, "hard nationalization"

Anthropic, "hard nationalization"

OpenAI, "hard nationalization"

NO

YES

YES

YES

YES

An artificial intelligence that outperforms an average human at most tasks

Other

highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work

AI as capable as at least one human who has "general intelligence"

An artificial system that can follow and apply any set of instructions an average human can follow and apply

The ability of AI systems to perform all tasks that humans can perform

AI with the ability to pass the Turing test

NO

YES