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Degen News
Prediction markets for Degen
Prediction markets for Degen
Does Janssen's CD59 gene therapy for age-related macular degeneration work?
Jun 4, 2:58 AM
Jun 11, 6:59 AM
34.12%
chance
3
401
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1393
723
Will I hear of anyone in the US or Canada placed under an involuntary psychiatric hold for talking about suicide from a philosophical perspective?
Nov 18, 2:21 AM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
18.9%
chance
14
273
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1081
966
Will an effective cure for Keratoconus exist by 2040
Nov 19, 12:39 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
76.54%
chance
16
258
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1082
961
Will "Simple versus Short: Higher-order degeneracy ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Sep 15, 2:17 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
12.16%
chance
2
151
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1150
978
Will Lea Degen publish any podcasts in 2025-2026? [her old podcast stopped in 2021]
Mar 6, 11:00 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
Are you "mechanism geek" or "random speculator"?
Apr 2, 9:19 PM
14
0
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