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Prediction markets for Delete Act

Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder of her 3 children?

Jul 31, 9:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

4317136

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3694

560

Will Temu go out of business in the EU before 2028?

Jul 5, 2:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.5%chance

131943

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1319

758

Will the "Local Taxpayer Protection Act to Save Proposition 13" pass (Prop 43)

Apr 25, 3:46 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM

19.37%chance

4531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1500

841

Will Ketanji Brown Jackson rule in favor of Virginia's redistricting

May 9, 1:20 AMJan 1, 2:19 AM

79.63%chance

5465

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1435

857

Will Gavin Newsom veto the "Plug and Play" solar bill SB 868

Sep 2, 4:46 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

29.93%chance

13452

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Will the Nicholas Funk vs PSA RICO lawsuit get dismissed?

Aug 5, 6:26 AMDec 31, 6:30 AM

78.41%chance

2410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1363

876

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks before 2027?

Jun 7, 10:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.53%chance

13302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

94

Will d4vd get the death penalty?

Apr 24, 1:18 PMApr 24, 1:18 PM

17%chance

10243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

45

Will Canada pass Bill C-22 in 2026?

May 20, 7:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.8%chance

5132

OptionVotes

NO

YES

212

47

Will the Sunshine Protection Act or permanent DST become law by August 28, 2028 (8/28/28)?

Jun 11, 11:09 AMJul 29, 6:58 AM

31%chance

5109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

94

When will Waymo or an equivalent be generally available in chicago.

Jun 20, 2:18 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

4106

OptionProbability

Before 2030

Before 2028

Before 2029

Before 2027

2030 or later

84

71

71

62

50

Will codex or Claude code be shown to mass deleting someone's hard drive if it suspects biorisk or illegal activity?

May 1, 4:40 PMDec 31, 5:40 PM

44%chance

973

OptionVotes

YES

NO

113

89

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