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Prediction markets for Delete Act

Pourrait il avoir un attentat au USA pendant la coupe du monde 2026?

Jun 19, 1:47 PMJul 19, 11:59 PM

20.7%chance

91361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1957

511

Will the "Local Taxpayer Protection Act to Save Proposition 13" pass

Apr 25, 3:46 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM

19.06%chance

3526

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1521

836

Will Ketanji Brown Jackson rule in favor of Virginia's redistricting

May 9, 1:20 AMJan 1, 2:19 AM

79.63%chance

5465

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1435

857

Will Bernie's 50% AI tax pass?

Jun 3, 5:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.7%chance

4426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

510

20

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks before 2027?

Jun 7, 10:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.41%chance

9177

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

77

Will d4vd get the death penalty?

Apr 24, 1:18 PMApr 24, 1:18 PM

25.6%chance

7122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

When will Waymo or an equivalent be generally available in chicago.

Jun 20, 2:18 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

4106

OptionProbability

Before 2030

Before 2028

Before 2029

Before 2027

2030 or later

84

71

71

62

50

Discovered tracing mecanisems on gpt in june

Jun 16, 6:34 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

19.92%chance

6100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will the Sunshine Protection Act or permanent DST become law by August 28, 2028 (8/28/28)?

Jun 11, 11:09 AMAug 27, 11:59 PM

18.54%chance

387

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

74

Will Canada pass Bill C-22 in 2026?

May 20, 7:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.41%chance

573

OptionVotes

NO

YES

162

62

Will codex or Claude code be shown to mass deleting someone's hard drive if it suspects biorisk or illegal activity?

May 1, 4:40 PMDec 31, 5:40 PM

44%chance

973

OptionVotes

YES

NO

113

89

when will Elomusk finish his last project in this year 2026

Jun 25, 10:42 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

320

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2027

Before Oct 2026

Before Dec 2026

Before Aug 2026

59

50

50

38

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