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Prediction markets for Dementia

Credible evidence Joe Biden has dementia emerges by 2026

Feb 9, 5:32 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

41.02%chance

411578

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

879

Is herpes a causative factor in dementia?

Jun 14, 2:06 AMOct 11, 2:06 AM

75.24%chance

101024

OptionVotes

NO

YES

925

621

Is Trump faking his dementia?

Oct 18, 8:18 AMOct 18, 9:59 PM

15%chance

14412

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Will cancer be less deadly than dementia in 2030?

Mar 4, 6:58 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

22.89%chance

8390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

338

216

Is Donald Trump already suffering the effects of dementia?

May 5, 8:01 PMDec 31, 9:00 PM

9%chance

12350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

318

31

Credible evidence Joe Biden has dementia emerges by 2028

Feb 9, 5:28 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

46.5%chance

12236

OptionVotes

NO

YES

161

132

Will the number of people diagnosed with dementia be greater by 2026 than on Jan 1, 2025?

Jan 14, 2:29 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

83.55%chance

7207

OptionVotes

NO

YES

225

44

Credible evidence Donald Trump has dementia emerges by 2028

Jan 3, 9:01 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

49.16%chance

11165

OptionVotes

NO

YES

170

162

Credible evidence Donald Trump has dementia emerges by 2030

Jan 3, 9:04 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

62.61%chance

6158

OptionVotes

NO

YES

167

99

Credible evidence Donald Trump has dementia emerges by 2026

Jan 3, 9:00 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

16.43%chance

8137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

205

127

Credible evidence Joe Biden has dementia emerges by 2030

Feb 9, 5:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

54.25%chance

7111

OptionVotes

NO

YES

149

105

Will Sean Strickland suffer from dementia before age 60?

Jul 8, 10:58 PMFeb 28, 4:59 AM

38.93%chance

217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

80

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